Welcome to your Gameweek 38 final day briefing - thanks for being here. This is it. The last gameweek of the Premier League season, and there's still everything to play for in your mini leagues. The deadline hits at 1:30pm today, all ten fixtures kick off simultaneously at 3pm, and the decisions you make in the next few hours could be the difference between glory and heartbreak. Let's cut through the noise and get you set.
⚡ Rapid-Fire GW37 Recap

Virgil

Senesi
Before we get into the GW38 moves, here's what happened last gameweek that's shaping the transfer landscape today.
| Player | GW37 Pts | Goals | Assists | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo (Chelsea) | 13 | 1 | 1 | 🔥 In-form |
| Virgil (Liverpool) | 14 | 2 | 0 | 💪 Monster GW |
| Haaland (Man City) | 9 | 1 | 0 | ✅ Reliable |
| Semenyo (Bournemouth) | 1 | 0 | 0 | ❌ Tank empty |
| Gyökeres (Arsenal) | - | 0 | 0 | ⚠️ 17 mins only |
✅ Top 3 Transfers IN for GW38
1. Enzo Fernández (Chelsea) - £6.5m | 12% Ownership
Verdict: Essential
This is the standout transfer of the final gameweek. Enzo delivered 13 points in GW37 - a goal, an assist, and 3 bonus points in Chelsea's 2-1 win over Spurs. He now has 10 goals and 5 assists for the season, totalling 156 points overall, and he's flying into 156,000 transfers this gameweek alone.
Price: £6.5m
Ownership: 12% - low enough to be a differential, high enough to validate
GW37: 13 points (1G, 1A, 3 bonus)
Season totals: 10 goals, 5 assists, 156 total points
GW38 fixture: Chelsea away at Sunderland - Fixture Difficulty Rating: 3
Expected Points (xP): 7.7 for GW38
Form rating: 7.7
Chelsea travel to Sunderland in the final gameweek - a fixture difficulty of just 3 - and will want to end the season on a high. Enzo is the engine of this Chelsea side right now, and with his form, his fixture, and his set-piece involvement, this is as close to a must-have as you'll find at 12% ownership. If you haven't got him already, today is your last chance.
2. Virgil van Dijk (Liverpool) - £6.1m | 31.2% Ownership
Verdict: Good
What a GW37 from the Liverpool captain. Two goals from set pieces against Aston Villa in a 4-2 thriller - 14 points and a reminder of exactly why defenders with set-piece threat are so valuable in FPL.
Price: £6.1m
Ownership: 31.2%
GW37: 14 points (2 goals)
Season totals: 6 goals, 1 assist, 173 total points
GW38 fixture: Liverpool home vs Brentford - Fixture Difficulty Rating: 3 at home
Expected Points (xP): 5.7 for GW38
Set-piece threat: Active every single week
Yes, Brentford away carry a fixture difficulty rating of 4, which makes this slightly trickier than it looks on paper - but Liverpool at home is still a strong clean sheet candidate, and Virgil's attacking threat from corners and free kicks gives him a double route to points. At £6.1m with 31.2% ownership, he's well-owned for a reason.
3. Erling Haaland (Man City) - £14.7m | 64.1% Ownership
Verdict: Good - Hold your nerve
92,000 transfers out this week, but don't panic. Haaland scored in GW37 as Bournemouth held Man City to a 1-1 draw - 9 points with 3 bonus. He has 27 goals this season and remains the highest-scoring player in FPL with 239 total points.
Price: £14.7m
Ownership: 64.1%
GW37: 9 points (1 goal, 3 bonus)
Season totals: 27 goals, 8 assists, 239 total points
GW38 fixture: Man City home vs Aston Villa - Fixture Difficulty Rating: 5 for Villa away
Expected Points (xP): 7.3 for GW38
Form: Consistent returns all season
Man City host Aston Villa in the final gameweek. With the title potentially on the line, Haaland will be central to everything City do going forward. If you've held him this far through the season, bailing now would be a mistake. The xP of 7.3 reflects the genuine threat he poses at the Etihad. Stay put.
Want to see how Haaland's expected points compare to the rest of the GW38 field? View expected points projections to plan your final gameweek squad.
❌ Top 3 Transfers OUT for GW38
1. Semenyo (Bournemouth) - £8.0m | 46.4% Ownership
Verdict: Sell
Just one point in GW37, only 55 minutes on the pitch, and 137,000 managers already heading for the exit. Semenyo was brilliant for long stretches of this season but the end-of-season rot has clearly set in.
Price: £8.0m
Ownership: 46.4%
GW37: 1 point (55 minutes played)
GW38 xP: 4.3 - lowest of the big ownership players
Transfers out: 137,000+ this week
At 46.4% ownership with an xP of just 4.3 for the final gameweek, he is actively dragging you backwards relative to the field. Sell, and use the funds on a player who's actually firing.
2. Gyökeres (Arsenal) - £9.1m | 16.9% Ownership
Verdict: Sell if you need the funds
Only 17 minutes off the bench against Burnley as Arsenal ground out a 1-0 win in GW37. Almost 200,000 managers are already out ahead of the final day. His GW38 xP of 6.0 sounds decent, but if he's not starting, that number is completely meaningless.
Price: £9.1m
Ownership: 16.9%
GW37: 17 minutes played
GW38 fixture: Crystal Palace away - Fixture Difficulty Rating: 4
GW38 xP: 6.0 (irrelevant if he doesn't start)
Transfers out: ~200,000 this week
The lack of starts is the defining concern here. At £9.1m, you could find far better value elsewhere on the final day. View predicted lineups before the 1:30pm deadline - if he's not in the XI, the decision makes itself.
3. Guéhi (Man City) - £5.1m | 32.6% Ownership
Verdict: Hold if short on transfers, Sell for flexibility
Guéhi returned just 2 points in GW37 despite playing 90 minutes, and Man City's final fixture against Aston Villa carries a difficulty of 5 - the highest clean sheet difficulty of the weekend. He does have 14 clean sheets this season, so the underlying numbers are respectable, but 50,000 transfers out suggest managers are already moving on.
Price: £5.1m
Ownership: 32.6%
GW37: 2 points (90 minutes, no clean sheet)
Season: 14 clean sheets
GW38 fixture: Man City vs Aston Villa - Difficulty 5 for clean sheet prospects
Transfers out: ~50,000 this week
If you've already used your free transfer getting Enzo in, hold Guéhi and accept the risk. If you have a spare move, there are better-placed defenders for GW38.
🎯 Differentials Under 10% - Win Your Mini League Today
These are the picks that could separate you from everyone else in your mini league on the final day. Low ownership, strong fixtures, and genuine upside. Browse more differentials on our full database.
🔵 Hinshelwood (Brighton) - £5.2m | 1.6% Ownership
The standout differential of the final gameweek. Brighton host Man Utd at home - a fixture difficulty of just 3 for Brighton - and Hinshelwood has been quietly excellent all season.
Price: £5.2m - outstanding budget value
Ownership: 1.6% - virtually nobody owns him
GW37: 81 minutes played, clean sheet
Season: 4 goals, 5 assists, 7 clean sheets
GW38 fixture: Brighton home vs Man Utd - FDR 3
GW38 xP: 6.0
Transfers in: 18,000 this week
At £5.2m with 1.6% ownership, Hinshelwood gives you clean sheet potential, goal threat, and assist potential - all from a player almost nobody has. If he delivers on the final day, you'll be flying up mini league tables. This is the punchy differential of the week.
🔵 Doku (Man City) - £6.5m | 6.6% Ownership
Joint highest expected points in the entire GW38 data at 7.7 xP. Doku only returned 2 points in GW37 (75 minutes played) but the underlying attacking threat is always there - and if Man City are pushing for the title, this could be his moment.
Price: £6.5m
Ownership: 6.6%
GW37: 2 points (75 minutes played)
Season: 5 goals, 8 assists
GW38 fixture: Man City home vs Aston Villa
GW38 xP: 7.7 - joint highest this week
The 7.7 xP is the headline here. If City turn up in full force for a potential title-deciding match, Doku's pace and directness make him one of the most dangerous attacking players on the pitch. At 6.6% ownership, a big return from him would be a genuine mini league winner.
🟡 Darlow (Leeds) - £4.0m | 6.9% Ownership
The budget goalkeeper who keeps delivering. Darlow bagged 11 points in GW37 with a clean sheet and 3 bonus points. Leeds travel to West Ham in GW38 - West Ham at home carrying a fixture difficulty of just 2 for Leeds.
Price: £4.0m - the cheapest route to clean sheet points
Ownership: 6.9%
GW37: 11 points (clean sheet, 3 bonus)
Season: 5 clean sheets, 58 saves
GW38 fixture: Leeds away at West Ham - FDR 2 (excellent)
If you need a budget second goalkeeper with real upside for the final day, Darlow at £4.0m is the answer. Five clean sheets and 58 saves this season tells you he's been doing his job all year - and a difficulty-2 fixture on the last day gives him a strong chance of delivering again.
🏆 Captaincy Recommendation
Our captain pick for Gameweek 38:
Enzo Fernández is our captain recommendation for GW38. The form, the fixture, the confidence - it all points to Chelsea's midfielder delivering big on the final day away at Sunderland. 10 goals, 5 assists, 13 points last week, and a fixture difficulty of just 3. This is the value captain of the week.
Premium alternative: Haaland at home to Aston Villa has the big-game feel. If you're already captaining him this season, sticking with the 27-goal machine in a potential title-decider at the Etihad is a perfectly reasonable call. But for those looking to chase the field, Enzo at 12% ownership is the move.
📋 GW38 Key Stats at a Glance
| Player | Price | Own% | xP | FDR | Fixture |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo | £6.5m | 12% | 7.7 | 3 | vs Sunderland (A) |
| Doku | £6.5m | 6.6% | 7.7 | - | vs Aston Villa (H) |
| Haaland | £14.7m | 64.1% | 7.3 | - | vs Aston Villa (H) |
| Virgil | £6.1m | 31.2% | 5.7 | 3 | vs Brentford (H) |
| Hinshelwood | £5.2m | 1.6% | 6.0 | 3 | vs Man Utd (H) |
| Darlow | £4.0m | 6.9% | - | 2 | at West Ham (A) |
⏰ Final Day Checklist
Deadline is 1:30pm today - don't sleep on it
All 10 GW38 fixtures kick off simultaneously at 3pm
Check predicted lineups before deadline - especially for Gyökeres
Captain Enzo for value, Haaland if you want the premium option
Consider Hinshelwood or Doku as differential punts
Sell Semenyo if you haven't already - 4.3 xP is too low
Free transfers are gold today - use them wisely
🎓 Want an Edge All Season?
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That's your GW38 final day briefing. Good luck out there, managers - may the points be with you. 🏆