GW38 Final Day Guide: Transfers, Captains & Differentials to End the Season Strong

Welcome to your Gameweek 38 final day briefing! The season is almost over, and every single decision matters. Whether you're chasing a mini-league title or just want to finish the campaign on a high, this is your comprehensive guide to the transfers, captain picks, and differentials that could make all the difference on Sunday. Let's make it count.

The GW38 deadline is Sunday 25th May at 1:30pm - so don't sleep on this. Get your team sorted before the window closes.

Before we get into the transfers, here's the essential news you need to know:

The standout transfer target for the final gameweek. Szoboszlai played the full 90 minutes against Aston Villa in GW37, grabbed two assists and nine points - and on the season, he's accumulated 6 goals and 7 assists as Liverpool's creative engine. At £7.0m, he represents genuine value with a fixture difficulty rating of 3 as Liverpool host Brentford at home. His form score sits at 6.0 and his expected points for GW38 are 6.5 - the highest of any midfielder we're recommending this week. Check out our expected points projections for the full picture.

A brilliant budget defensive option for the final day. Senesi has been quietly outstanding this season with 11 clean sheets and 6 assists - extraordinary numbers for a centre-back at this price point. Bournemouth host Nott'm Forest in GW38 with a fixture difficulty rating of 3, and Forest's attacking threat should be very manageable. With a form score of 5.6 and expected points of 5.6, the clean sheet and bonus potential is very real. We recommended Bournemouth assets earlier in the week and this recommendation still firmly stands.

If you need a cheap defensive enabler, Truffert is extraordinary value at under £5m. 11 clean sheets and 4 assists this season for just £4.7m is a remarkable return. With Bournemouth hosting Forest at home and a clean sheet very much on the cards, Truffert's expected points of 5.8 and form of 5.8 make him a no-brainer budget pick. Only 4.7% ownership means this is also a differential advantage.

The stats tell a brutal story. Despite a phenomenal 22 goals this season, Thiago's GW38 expected points sit at just 1.7 with a form score that has collapsed to 2.2. Brentford travel to Liverpool in GW38 with a fixture difficulty rating of 4 for the away side - about as tough as it gets. Nearly 7,915 managers have already transferred him out this week, and rightly so. His season is done.

On paper, Bowen's season has been impressive - 8 goals and 12 assists is a fine return. But his form has dropped to just 3.2 and his GW38 expected points are only 3.2 despite West Ham hosting Leeds with a fixture difficulty of 2 for the home side. Over 8,000 transfers out this week tell their own story. At £7.7m in a final gameweek where you need big returns, there are better places to invest.

Mac Allister played the full 90 against Villa but returned just 4 points with no goals or assists in GW37. Liverpool have conceded 7 goals in recent matches, which raises questions about the team's overall form. His expected points of 4.7 are decent but not exciting enough to justify a transfer in for the final gameweek if you're chasing the money.

With the final gameweek historically producing more goals, being bold with low-ownership picks could be what separates you from your mini-league rivals. Browse our differential players tool for a full overview of under-the-radar options this week.

At under £4m, Bijol is the ultimate budget differential. Leeds travel to West Ham in GW38 (FDR 3 away), and Bijol has posted 4 clean sheets and 3 assists this season. If Leeds nick a result, the clean sheet bonus and bonus point potential is all there at a dirt-cheap price. As an enabler option, he frees up serious budget to invest elsewhere.

The most eye-catching differential of the week. Awoniyi is owned by just 0.4% of managers - meaning even a single 6-pointer separates you from the vast majority of your rivals. Forest host Bournemouth at home in GW38 with expected points of 4.4. He's scored 4 goals and 2 assists this season, and if Gibbs-White is restricted or misses out entirely with his facial injury, Awoniyi becomes the focal point of Forest's attack. Ultra-low ownership makes this a genuine game-changer.

A wildcard option for those looking to be truly bold on the final day. Osula has scored 5 goals this season and Newcastle host Fulham in GW38. With Newcastle's attacking intent and the final day historically favouring goals, Osula is a genuine punt for managers who need to take risks to climb the standings.

Szoboszlai is the standout captain pick for GW38. Liverpool host Brentford at home - a favourable fixture with an FDR of 3 - and he's already shown his GW38 quality with 9 points and 2 assists in GW37. With 6 goals and 7 assists on the season, he's Liverpool's most reliable creative threat, and his expected points of 6.5 lead all midfielders we're analysing this week. The armband goes here.

If you're behind in your mini-league and need to take a punt, Senesi is the differential captain of the week. Bournemouth at home against Forest, 11 clean sheets on the season, and bonus point potential throughout. A clean sheet as captain could be exactly the move that catches your rivals off guard.

A reminder that with rotation risks at Liverpool - both Salah and Wirtz were named as substitutes in GW37 - you should think carefully before handing the armband to any Liverpool player not named Szoboszlai. The form data clearly points in one direction this week.

Good luck for the final gameweek, managers. Make bold decisions, trust the data, and may your captain haul. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for all your FPL tools and analysis.