GW38 Final Day Guide: The Transfers You Can't Afford to Miss Before Sunday's Deadline

Welcome, FPL managers - and thank you for subscribing to Who Got The Points! This is it. Gameweek 38. The final deadline lands at 1:30pm on Sunday, and every rank point is on the line. We've packed everything you need into this briefing: transfers in, transfers out, differentials, captaincy, and the key team news to watch before you lock your squad. Let's get into it.

Before you make a single move, here are the five big news stories shaping Gameweek 38 decisions:

This is our standout transfer recommendation for Gameweek 38 and it's hard to argue against it. Anderson delivered two assists and three bonus points in Gameweek 37 against Man Utd, finishing with 12 points. He's racked up 178 total points this season - one of the most consistent contributors in the game - and his form rating of 8.5 is the highest in our data today.

Forest host Bournemouth at home in Gameweek 38, which is a solid final-day fixture, and over 150,000 managers have already transferred him in this week. We recommended him two days ago and he delivered. At just 8.6% ownership, he's still a genuine differential despite the rising interest.

He's also our captaincy pick for GW38 - more on that below. View expected points projections to see how Anderson stacks up against the rest of the midfield options.

Osula exploded onto the Gameweek 37 scene in stunning fashion - two goals, three bonus points and 13 points in just 84 minutes against West Ham. At only 1.7% ownership, he's one of the cleanest differentials available for the final day.

He's scored 7 goals across the season but that brace shows the ceiling is there. Newcastle travel to Fulham in Gameweek 38, which is a fairly neutral fixture on paper, but his recent form gives you every reason to back him. Over 83,000 managers have already spotted this one - the secret is out, but at 1.7% owned there's still huge differential potential.

Truffert is the budget enabler you didn't know you needed. He picked up an assist in Gameweek 37 against Man City and has 6.7 expected points for Gameweek 38 when Bournemouth visit Nott'm Forest. With 11 clean sheets and 5 assists this season, he offers exceptional value at that price point.

Nearly 53,000 transfers in this week show the momentum building. If you're looking for budget options to free up funds for Anderson or Osula, Truffert is the Bournemouth defensive pick to own - not Hill (more on that below).

This is the most urgent sell of the week. João Pedro is doubtful with a knock and has only a 75% chance of playing against Sunderland in Gameweek 38. His expected points for the final gameweek drop to just 2.5 - alarming for an asset close to £7.5m. His form has fallen to 3.3 and he scored zero points in Gameweek 37.

With over 200,000 managers already selling, the template move is crystal clear. You cannot risk a near-£7.5m asset who might not even start in the last gameweek of the season. The funds are better deployed elsewhere - Anderson, Osula or Truffert all represent better value for the final day.

We flagged Bowen as a potential buy two days ago, but Gameweek 37 was a flat zero points in 90 minutes. West Ham host Leeds in Gameweek 38, which looks winnable on paper, but his form has slumped to 4.0 and his expected points next week are only 4. With 8 goals and 12 assists this season he has been a solid overall contributor, but the final day is about ceiling, not sentiment.

Hill blanked with just 1 point in Gameweek 37 despite playing the full 90 minutes against Man City. His expected points for Gameweek 38 are 5.7, but with Truffert now the standout Bournemouth defensive pick - offering more attacking output at a slightly higher price - Hill feels like the weaker option. If you're holding both, Hill is the one to move on.

Looking for an edge in your mini-leagues on the final day? Here are three differential picks worth considering for GW38:

At £3.9m, Bijol is almost free in your squad. He played 90 minutes and kept a clean sheet in Gameweek 37, picking up 8 points. Leeds travel to West Ham in Gameweek 38 and with West Ham potentially distracted by other concerns, there's a real clean sheet opportunity. At 1.2% ownership, he won't cost you anything if he blanks, and could be a rank-saving gem if Leeds keep a clean sheet.

Gibbs-White scored in Gameweek 37 against Man Utd, finishing with 7 points. Across the season he has contributed 14 goals and 4 assists. Forest are at home to Bournemouth in the finale - the same fixture we love for Anderson - and Gibbs-White is central to how Forest create. We recommended him as essential this week, he delivered, and the home fixture gives him a real chance to sign off the season in style.

Not a true differential at 45.9% ownership, but Gabriel's expected points of 8.8 for Gameweek 38 are the highest of any defender in our data today - and that's worth shouting about. He's kept 18 clean sheets this season and despite rotation concerns in the Arsenal squad, Gabriel is nailed at the back. If you don't own him, it's something to seriously consider for a strong finish.

You can check the full defensive stats and clean sheet projections for all defenders before you make your final call.

For the final captain decision of the season, our pick is Anderson from Nott'm Forest. Here's the case:

If you own Anderson, he's your armband for Gameweek 38. He's the in-form midfielder of the moment and the home fixture gives him every chance of a big score to close out the season. For more on who else could captain, check the expected points projections to compare the top options side by side.

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That's your final day briefing sorted. Good luck for Gameweek 38, everyone - make those transfers count and get that squad locked in before the 1:30pm Sunday deadline. It's been a brilliant season and we'll see you on the other side!