GW37 Deadline Day: Arsenal Triple Up, Liverpool Injury Crisis & The Transfers You Must Make Before 5:30PM

Welcome to your Gameweek 37 deadline day briefing - everything you need to make the right calls before the 5:30PM cutoff today. We're covering the injury crises, the must-make transfers, the differentials worth targeting, and your captaincy pick for Monday night. Let's get into it.

Before we get into transfers, here's the injury situation you need to be aware of - and it's significant.

Salah, Wirtz, and Alisson are all carrying doubts ahead of Liverpool's trip to Aston Villa on Friday evening. This is the biggest injury story of the week. If you're holding any Liverpool assets, you need to monitor team news extremely closely before the deadline. With the press conferences potentially happening close to the 5:30PM cutoff, don't leave this to chance.

Gibbs-White, Murillo, and Aina are all injury doubts for Forest's clash at Man Utd on Sunday. Forest had a difficult Gameweek 36 and now face potential squad disruption for one of their toughest remaining fixtures. Avoid committing to Forest assets without confirmed fitness updates.

Neto, Sanchez, and Garnacho are all uncertain ahead of Chelsea's match against Spurs on Tuesday evening. Both Chelsea and Spurs also have a Gameweek 38 blank to consider, so think very carefully before investing in assets from either club beyond this week.

The FPL community has spoken - Arsenal are the team everyone is tripling up on in Gameweek 37. They face Burnley at home on Monday evening, which is the standout fixture of the entire gameweek. Burnley away is rated at a fixture difficulty of 5 for the visitors, meaning Arsenal at home is as good as it gets. If you're not already loaded on Arsenal, read on.

Gabriel is the number one transfer priority this week - full stop. His expected points of 7.7 are the highest of any player in the data, and Arsenal at home to Burnley is the easiest fixture on the board. Seventeen clean sheets on the season tells you everything about his defensive consistency, and with over 84,000 transfers in, the entire FPL world is catching on. If you don't own Gabriel, this is the move you must make before 5:30PM today.

He's also your captaincy recommendation - see the captain section below for the full breakdown.

Despite over 120,000 transfers out this week - what looks like panic selling - Watkins is in red-hot form with a 7.0 form rating and a goal in Gameweek 36. He hosts Liverpool at Villa Park on Friday night, and with Liverpool's injury concerns around Alisson potentially weakening their backline, this is a brilliant opportunity for Watkins to run riot. If you're after a premium forward for the weekend and you have the budget, this is your pick.

At just £5.4m and 1.6% ownership, Rayan is the standout budget differential of the week. Nine points in Gameweek 36 - a goal, a clean sheet, and a bonus point - backed up by a 7.0 form rating. Bournemouth host Man City on Tuesday evening, and at these odds with an expected points return of 6.5, Rayan frees up serious budget to spend elsewhere in your team. This is the kind of pick that wins mini-leagues.

Here's the nuance - Arsenal are absolutely the team to target this week, but Rice is not the way to get that exposure. He earned just 3 points in Gameweek 36, his form rating has dropped to 3.0, and his expected points for Gameweek 37 are only 4.5. Nearly 47,000 managers are rotating their Arsenal exposure away from Rice and toward Gabriel and Saka. If you need to fund that Gabriel purchase, Rice is your most logical sell. Keep the Arsenal coverage, just shift it to the right players.

Sels has been decent on the season with 7 clean sheets, but he conceded in Gameweek 36 for just 3 points, and Forest now head to Old Trafford with Gibbs-White, Murillo, and Aina all potentially missing. With expected points of just 4.5 and real uncertainty around the squad, you can upgrade. Leno was recommended as a solid alternative and remains the upgrade target of choice at goalkeeper.

Just 1 point in Gameweek 36 despite playing 82 minutes is a damning return. The season numbers - 6 goals, 6 assists, 110 points - are respectable, but form is dipping at the worst possible time, and Forest's squad disruptions heading into the Man Utd away fixture make this a very uncomfortable hold. Over 17,000 transfers out this week tell the story. Sell unless you have the patience for a potentially tricky away fixture.

Six points in Gameweek 36 with an assist and a clean sheet. Six assists on the season. Brighton host Leeds at home on Sunday, with expected points of 6.5 - a genuinely tasty fixture. At just 3.3% ownership and £5.6m, Groß is an ideal differential for a budget midfield slot. This is exactly the kind of low-owned, high-upside pick that can separate your rank from the crowd.

Seven points in Gameweek 36 - a goal and a bonus point. Thirteen goals on the season. Over 61,000 transfers in this week show the FPL community is piling in, and for good reason. Leeds host Brighton on Sunday. At £5.8m he's the form budget forward right now. He's not a true differential at 13.1% ownership, but he's the pick if you want a reliable, in-form forward at an accessible price point.

An outstanding Gameweek 36 - 14 points across two games, two clean sheets, and two bonus points. Fifteen clean sheets on the season. Man City face Bournemouth away on Tuesday, and while that fixture requires some caution, the underlying numbers here are exceptional. At 9.3% ownership, Donnarumma remains under the radar for a goalkeeper of his quality. If you need a goalkeeper upgrade, he's your man.

If you want a differential captain option, Watkins at Villa Park against a potentially depleted Liverpool backline is your alternative. With Alisson, Salah, and Wirtz all carrying doubts, Liverpool could be significantly weakened, and Watkins in red-hot form at home is a compelling call. But Gabriel remains the primary recommendation - don't overthink this one.

Good luck with your GW37 transfers - get them in before 5:30PM today and may the green arrows be with you. Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily analysis, tools, and transfer advice all season long.