Thanks for subscribing to Who Got The Points - here's everything you need to nail your Gameweek 33 transfers before the Saturday 18th April, 10AM deadline. Double gameweeks, injury concerns, and a defender who just scored 21 points at £4.4m. Let's get into it.
🚨 Key News & Injury Updates
Before we get into transfers, here's what's shaping the week:
Salah benched again - Arne Slot's rotation policy is costing FPL managers big points. If you still hold him, you need a plan. He scored 1 goal for 8 points in GW32 but the bench risk is now a genuine concern heading into GW33.
Ekitike - serious injury reported. If you own him, get him out fast. Don't wait on this one.
O'Reilly (Man City) - listed as doubtful with a muscle injury, rated at 75% chance of playing. Man City have a double gameweek (Arsenal away Sunday, Burnley at home Wednesday), making this a crucial watch before the deadline.
Double Gameweek teams in GW33 - Man City, Bournemouth, Brighton, Burnley, Chelsea, and Leeds all play twice. Free Hit managers are circling. Prioritise double gameweek assets across your squad.
✅ Transfers In - Who To Buy
1. O'Reilly (Man City, DEF) - Essential
The standout transfer target of the week. Here's the full picture:
Price: £5.0m
Ownership: 13.1% (picking up 120,000 transfers this GW)
GW32: Scored a goal + clean sheet = 14 points
Season: 5 goals, 3 assists, 12 clean sheets from defence
Expected Points GW33: 21.4 - the highest of any player in the data
Double gameweek: Arsenal (A) + Burnley (H)
O'Reilly is also our captaincy pick for GW33 - more on that below. The only caveat is the muscle injury concern. Monitor team news closely before the deadline. If he's fit, this is as close to essential as it gets at £5.0m.
⚠️ Verdict: Essential - but monitor that injury.
2. Welbeck (Brighton, FWD) - Good Buy
Brighton have a cracking double gameweek and Welbeck is the focal point of their attack:
Price: £6.3m
Ownership: 8.6% (pulling in 85,000 transfers this GW)
GW32: Brighton beat Burnley 2-0, Welbeck played 74 minutes
Season: 12 goals
Expected Points GW33: 13.5
Double gameweek: Spurs (H) Saturday + Chelsea (A) Tuesday
His price has dipped slightly but the fixtures are too good to ignore for a player with 12 goals this season. Also serves as the backup captaincy option if O'Reilly's injury concern worries you.
⚠️ Verdict: Good buy, especially for double gameweek coverage.
3. Mateus Nunes (Man City, DEF) - Under-the-Radar Pick
Listed in the data as Matheus N., this is the budget Man City defensive option flying under the radar:
Price: £5.3m
Ownership: 3.1% (20,000 transfers in this week)
GW32: Clean sheet kept against Chelsea
Season: 10 clean sheets, 7 assists from defence - elite output for that price
Expected Points GW33: 12.5
Double gameweek: Arsenal (A) + Burnley (H)
Part of a Man City defence with two fixtures ahead, affordable, and still heavily under-owned. If you're already going for O'Reilly, pairing him with Mateus Nunes gives you two City defenders for the double at a combined £10.3m.
⚠️ Verdict: Good pick for the double.
❌ Transfers Out - Who To Sell
1. B. Fernandes (Man Utd, MID) - Sell
Price: £10.3m
Ownership: 44.7% (57,000 transfers OUT this week)
GW32: 4 points - played 90 minutes but Man Utd lost 1-2 to Leeds
Expected Points GW33: 8.5
Fixture: Chelsea (H) Saturday
Man Utd have lost back-to-back league games under Michael Carrick. At £10.3m, Fernandes is eating a huge chunk of budget that could be funding multiple double gameweek assets. His 8.5 expected points for GW33 is poor value for a premium captain candidate. Free up those funds.
⚠️ Verdict: Sell if you can free up funds for a double gameweek asset.
2. Ndiaye (Everton, MID) - Sell
Price: £6.2m
Ownership: 4.1%
GW32: 2 points - played 90 minutes in a goalless draw
Expected Points GW33: 5.5
Fixture: Liverpool (A) - Merseyside derby at Goodison
Everton have been inconsistent under David Moyes and Ndiaye hasn't contributed a goal or assist in recent weeks. Facing Liverpool in a derby is a tough ask and 5.5 expected points is among the lowest in the data. The money is far better spent on double gameweek assets.
⚠️ Verdict: Sell. The money is better spent elsewhere.
🎯 Differential Picks (Under 10% Ownership)
These are the punts that could separate you from your mini-league rivals. All under 10% owned and with genuine attacking or points potential:
Looking for more hidden gems? Browse our full list of differential players to find under-owned options across all positions.
⭐ Mavropanos (West Ham, DEF) - Differential Gold
Price: £4.4m
Ownership: 0.5% (under 35,000 transfers in)
GW32: 2 goals + clean sheet + 3 bonus points = 21 points
Season: 3 goals total
Expected Points GW33: 12.0
Fixture: Crystal Palace (A) Monday
Let that sink in - a £4.4m defender just bagged 21 points in Gameweek 32. Two goals, a clean sheet, and maximum bonus. He is flying completely under the radar with just 0.5% ownership. West Ham face Crystal Palace on Monday in GW33, and his expected points of 12.0 make him an outstanding differential weapon. The fixtures get tougher after this, but right now? This is the definition of differential gold.
⚠️ Verdict: Absolute differential pick - 21 points at £4.4m says it all.
Mateta (Crystal Palace, FWD) - Differential Weapon
Price: £7.5m
Ownership: 6.8%
GW32: Came off the bench, scored 2 goals + 3 bonus points = 12 points
Season: 10 goals
Expected Points GW33: 12.0
Fixture: West Ham (A) Monday
Mateta is a nightmare to defend when he starts - and even coming off the bench he bagged a brace and maximum bonus in GW32. With 10 goals this season and a match-up against West Ham on Monday, he's a genuine differential at under 7% owned.
⚠️ Verdict: Real differential weapon - watch for team news on whether he starts.
Bijol (Leeds, DEF) - Ultra-Differential
Price: £3.9m
Ownership: 0.9% (20,000 transfers in this week)
Expected Points GW33: 15.5
Double gameweek: Wolves (H) Saturday + Bournemouth (A) Wednesday
This is the ultra-differential that mini-league winners are built on. Under £4m, double gameweek exposure, 15.5 expected points, and barely anyone owns him. Leeds face Wolves and Bournemouth across two fixtures this week. At that budget price with two games, Bijol is the kind of punt that could jump you 20+ places in your mini-league overnight.
⚠️ Verdict: Ultra-differential for the brave - double gameweek at £3.9m.
🏆 Captaincy Pick for GW33
First choice: O'Reilly (Man City). If he's fit, this is your armband. His 21.4 expected points lead the entire dataset, he has a double gameweek against Arsenal and Burnley, and he's already shown he can deliver attacking returns from a defensive position. We recommended Cherki last gameweek, but O'Reilly's double and those expected points make him the clear standout choice.
Backup captain: Welbeck (Brighton). Also has a double gameweek (Spurs + Chelsea) and 13.5 expected points. If O'Reilly's injury concern is a dealbreaker for you, Welbeck is the natural alternative armband choice.
Want to dig deeper into expected points projections for every player in GW33? View expected points projections before making your final call.
📋 GW32 Top Performers - Who Delivered
Here's a quick recap of GW32's standout performers to give context to the ownership and transfer movements heading into GW33:
Mavropanos (West Ham, DEF) - 21 pts | 2 goals, clean sheet, 3 bonus
Wieffer (Brighton, MID) - 18 pts | 2 goals
Okafor (Leeds, FWD) - 15 pts | 2 goals
Guéhi (Man City, DEF) - 15 pts | 1 goal + clean sheet
O'Reilly (Man City, DEF) - 14 pts | 1 goal + clean sheet
Bowen (West Ham, MID) - 14 pts | 3 assists
Thiago (Brentford, FWD) - 13 pts | 2 goals
Mateta (Crystal Palace, FWD) - 12 pts | 2 goals, 3 bonus
Taty (West Ham, FWD) - 11 pts | 2 goals
Ngumoha (Liverpool, MID) - 11 pts | 1 goal
⚡ GW33 Quick Summary
✅ IN: O'Reilly (Man City, £5.0m) - essential if fit, leads with 21.4 xP
✅ IN: Welbeck (Brighton, £6.3m) - 12 goals, double gameweek, 13.5 xP
✅ IN: Mateus Nunes (Man City, £5.3m) - 7 assists, 10 clean sheets, 12.5 xP
❌ OUT: B. Fernandes (Man Utd, £10.3m) - poor form, 8.5 xP, Man Utd on a losing run
❌ OUT: Ndiaye (Everton, £6.2m) - 5.5 xP, Merseyside derby, no recent returns
🎯 DIFF: Mavropanos (West Ham, £4.4m) - 21 pts in GW32, 0.5% owned
🎯 DIFF: Mateta (Crystal Palace, £7.5m) - 12 pts off the bench, 10 goals this season
🎯 DIFF: Bijol (Leeds, £3.9m) - 15.5 xP, double gameweek, 0.9% owned
🏆 CAPTAIN: O'Reilly - 21.4 xP, double GW. Backup: Welbeck
⏰ DEADLINE: Saturday 18th April, 10AM - do not sleep on it
The golden rule this gameweek is simple: prioritise double gameweek assets above everything else. If you're choosing between two players of similar quality, always pick the one with two fixtures. One decision this week could be worth 20+ points more than the rest of your mini-league.
Want to get ahead on fixture planning beyond GW33? Check out the full fixture difficulty ratings to plan your transfers weeks in advance.
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