GW33 Double Gameweek Alert: The Differentials You Cannot Miss Before Saturday's Deadline

Welcome back, FPL managers! With the Gameweek 33 deadline hitting at 10am on Saturday, there is no time to waste. In this edition we are breaking down everything you need to know - defensive heroes from GW32, the double gameweek opportunities at Leeds and Chelsea, the top differential picks flying under the radar, and the players you should be moving on before Saturday morning. Let's get into it.

Before we dive into the picks, here are the key headlines shaping your GW33 decisions.

Arsenal fans are sweating on the fitness of Rice, Saka, and Timber ahead of Gameweek 33. Mikel Arteta faced the media this week and none of the three are certain starters. To make matters harder, Arsenal face Man City away on Sunday the 19th of April - already a tough fixture without injury doubts hanging over key players. The advice is simple: hold off on Arsenal assets until we get clearer fitness news closer to the Saturday deadline.

Leeds head into GW33 with a double gameweek and momentum firmly on their side. They face Wolves at home on Saturday the 18th before travelling to Bournemouth on Wednesday the 22nd. Two matches, two very winnable fixtures. Leeds are also in brilliant form after beating Man Utd 1-0 at Old Trafford in GW32. Get Leeds assets in now.

Chelsea also have a double in GW33, hosting Man Utd on Saturday before travelling to Brighton on Tuesday the 21st. However, Liam Rosenior's side will be looking to bounce back after that 3-0 hammering by Man City in GW32. There are also reports that Mbeumo was benched in the last match, so watch for team news carefully before going heavy on Chelsea assets.

It is Wednesday, which means we are deep-diving into defensive contribution points. Here are the standout defensive performers from Gameweek 32 and why they deserve a place in your GW33 squad.

Top of the pile and the differential of the season. Wieffer bagged 18 points in GW32 - 90 minutes played, two goals scored, a clean sheet, and three bonus points. Brighton beat Burnley 2-0 and Wieffer was the engine driving the whole performance. At under £5m, this is extraordinary value.

Brighton face Spurs in GW33 and Thomas Frank's side have been struggling badly this season. Wieffer's form rating of 9.5 and expected 18.5 points make this one of the most compelling transfers in weeks. At that price and ownership, you are getting premium output for a budget price.

If you do not already own Guéhi, this section is for you. He scored, kept a clean sheet, and picked up three bonus points as Man City demolished Chelsea 3-0 in GW32. He has been one of the best budget defenders in the game all season and his numbers back it up completely.

Yes, Man City face Arsenal away in GW33, which is a tough fixture on paper. But that expected 30.5 points figure tells you everything you need to know about the model's confidence in him. With 11 clean sheets and 3 goals from a budget defender, Guéhi remains a must-own asset.

Do not sleep on Neco Williams. Forest drew 1-1 with Aston Villa in GW32 and N.Williams still found the net, picking up 11 points including 3 bonus. He is a constant attacking threat from the defensive position and Sean Dyche's Forest are hard to break down.

Forest host Burnley at home in GW33 - a very favourable fixture. N.Williams is a set-piece threat from centre-back, is picking up goals and bonus points consistently, and at £4.7m, he is one of the most underpriced defenders in the game. Only 3.6% ownership makes this a brilliant differential.

The hottest differential in the game right now. Okafor scored twice and picked up three bonus points in 73 minutes during GW32, delivering 15 points at just £5.5m. He has 6 goals and 2 assists this season, and with Leeds having a double gameweek against Wolves and Bournemouth, the opportunity is enormous.

Daniel Farke's side are in brilliant form, the fixtures are ideal, and Okafor is right in the middle of all the attacking action. At 0.5% ownership you are getting a player who could single-handedly win your week while barely anyone else has him. This is the transfer of the gameweek.

Already covered in the defensive section above but worth repeating in full. Eighteen points in GW32 from a £4.9m midfielder. He scores goals, wins clean sheets, picks up bonus points, and has a perfect GW33 fixture against struggling Spurs. His form rating of 9.5 and expected 18.5 points make this the easiest transfer of the week alongside Okafor.

Wieffer is the definition of a free differential - owned by barely anyone, priced like a squad filler, and performing like a premium asset. If you are doing one transfer this week, make it this one.

Brighton's goalkeeper has been outstanding this season and GW32 was more of the same - 9 points including a clean sheet and two bonus points. With Brighton hosting Spurs in GW33, another clean sheet is very much on the cards.

Gordon managed just three points in GW32 as Newcastle lost to Crystal Palace 2-1. Over 31,000 managers are already moving him on this week and it is easy to see why. Newcastle face Bournemouth in GW33, Eddie Howe's side have been inconsistent, and at £7.4m you can reinvest that budget far more wisely across your double gameweek assets. Verdict: Sell.

With Arsenal's injury concerns hanging over Rice, Saka, and Timber ahead of the Man City clash, Arsenal assets carry significant risk in GW33. The advice remains to redirect that budget elsewhere and not double down on a fixture that could go very differently if Arsenal's key players are unavailable.

This is a big call but the data supports it. Haaland blanked completely in GW32 despite Man City winning 3-0 - no goal, no assist, zero bonus points, just two points. His form rating has dropped to just 2.0 and his expected points for GW33 against Arsenal away is just 4.5, the lowest it has been all season.

At 59.1% ownership, Haaland is the most held player in the game. But right now, that premium is simply not paying off. If you are sitting on him hoping for a return, GW33's fixture against Arsenal away is not the gameweek it is likely to come. If you need the funds to bring in Okafor, Wieffer, or Verbruggen, this is the move to make it happen.

These three players combine low ownership with genuine point-scoring potential. All are under 10% owned and all have strong cases for GW33.

Cherki delivered 10 points in GW32 with two assists, a clean sheet, and bonus points. Despite Man City facing Arsenal away in GW33 - a tough fixture on paper - Cherki's expected 20.5 points is the highest of any player in the data. He has 3 goals and 11 assists this season and is absolutely central to Man City's attacking play.

If you would rather captain a player with a double gameweek, Okafor is the strong alternative. Two games against Wolves and Bournemouth, blistering form, 15 points last week, and only 0.5% ownership. The double gameweek rotation risk is lower when you have a player this in form. A captaincy on Okafor could be the rank-climbing move of the entire season.

If you have your Free Hit chip available, Gameweek 33 is a serious candidate for deploying it. Leeds have a double, Chelsea have a double, and the fixtures align nicely for attacking assets across both clubs. The key strategy is to build your Free Hit squad around those two clubs and supplement with Brighton's defensive assets - Wieffer and Verbruggen in particular offer outstanding value on both counts.