GW29 Deadline Danger: Mac Allister to Captain, Iwobi to Buy, and Mbeumo to Sell

Welcome back to Who Got The Points - your rapid-fire FPL briefing before every deadline. Gameweek 29 is here and the deadline is brutally early: Tuesday, 4th March at 6pm. That means you need to act fast. In this edition, we're covering the key transfers in and out, three differentials under 10% ownership, and the captain pick you genuinely cannot ignore. Let's get into it.

Five things you need to know before the deadline:

Ownership: 1.5% | GW28 Points: 10 | Season: 4 goals, 3 assists | Points-per-game: 4.0

Nearly 79,000 managers are bringing Iwobi in this week and it's easy to see why. He scored and earned maximum bonus in GW28, bagging 10 points. Fulham host West Ham in GW29 - a fixture that is genuinely a gift at Craven Cottage, where Marco Silva's side have been devastating. At just 1.5% ownership, he is the standout budget differential this week. If you need a cheap midfielder with form and a great fixture, this is your man.

Verdict: Good buy. Essential if you need a budget midfielder with form.

Ownership: 1.9% | GW28 Points: 9 (inc. 2 bonus) | Season: 2 goals, 2 assists | GW29 xPts: 7.8

Mac Allister scored in GW28 as Liverpool put five past West Ham. He now faces Wolves away on Tuesday night and carries the highest expected points figure in the data at 7.8 for GW29. At just £6.2m with under 2% ownership, this is genuinely incredible value for a player who is central to everything Liverpool do under Arne Slot. Liverpool are the in-form team in the league right now, and Mac Allister is at the heart of it. Nearly 58,000 transfers in this week.

Verdict: Essential. One of the best value picks in the game right now.

Ownership: 43% | GW28 Points: 9 (assist + 3 bonus) | Season: 3 goals, 4 assists, 12 clean sheets | GW29 xPts: 5.8

Gabriel grabbed an assist and three bonus points in GW28 for nine points. He has been a monster this season with 3 goals, 4 assists and 12 clean sheets. Arsenal travel to Brighton in GW29 - while a clean sheet isn't guaranteed, Gabriel is always a threat at set pieces. Already owned by 43% of managers, but if you don't have him, now is the time to fix that. Expected points of 5.8 for next gameweek.

Verdict: Essential. If you're not already on him, get him in.

Ownership: 23.9% | GW28 Points: 2 | Transfers Out This Week: 78,000+

Mbeumo blanked in GW28 with just 2 points from 85 minutes against Crystal Palace. His form has cooled significantly and Man Utd travel to Newcastle in GW29 - a tough away fixture. At £8.7m, that budget can be reinvested into far more productive assets right now. Over 78,000 managers are moving him out this week, and it's hard to argue against that.

Verdict: Sell. Reinvest that budget into assets with better form and fixtures.

Ownership: Low | GW28 Points: 2 (72 mins) | Transfers Out This Week: ~12,000

Raúl managed just 2 points in GW28 despite 72 minutes on the pitch. With Wilson providing the attacking returns at Fulham and Wilson's ankle concern adding uncertainty around the whole Fulham attacking line, Raúl feels like a luxury you simply cannot afford. With Iwobi firing in that Fulham midfield, the budget is better spent on the midfielder slot if you want Fulham exposure.

Verdict: Sell. Use those funds on more productive options.

Ownership: 2.5% | GW28 Points: 4 | GW29 Fixture: Away at Newcastle

Casemiro blanked in GW28 with 4 points and no goal involvement. Man Utd away at Newcastle doesn't inspire confidence for GW29. At 2.5% ownership, he isn't a differential worth holding when there are better options at that price point. Slightly more transfers out than in this week.

Verdict: Hold if you must, but better options exist at this price.

Three picks flying under the radar that could haul in GW29:

Ownership: 0.2% | GW28 Points: 9 | Season: 5 goals

Gomez scored in GW28 to bank 9 points and now has 5 goals from midfield this season - outstanding output for a player at under £5m. Brighton host Arsenal at the Amex on Wednesday. Yes, Arsenal are a strong side, but Brighton under Fabian Hurzeler always press high and create chances. The ceiling on Gomez is massive, and at 0.2% ownership, the differential value is exceptional. This is the standout differential gem of the week.

Verdict: Differential gem. Massive ceiling at a knockdown price.

Ownership: 0.3% | GW28 Points: 7 | GW29 xPts: 5.2 | Fixture: Away at Fulham

Souček scored in GW28 for 7 points and now travels to Fulham in GW29. West Ham are looking for a response under Nuno Espirito Santo, and Souček consistently pops up with goal contributions. With expected points of 5.2, there's real upside here at a knockdown price. At 0.3% ownership, he gives you that differentiation in mini-leagues.

Verdict: Solid differential option with upside at a great price.

Ownership: 23.4% | GW28 Points: 12 (goal + assist) | Fitness: 75% chance of playing

Wilson is doubtful with an ankle injury but still carries a 75% chance of playing. He scored and assisted in GW28 for 12 points - and if he's confirmed fit before the deadline, he is a must-play differential. At 23.4% ownership, he's not ultra-low, but given the injury concern, many managers will have moved on. Watch team news closely - if he's fit, snap him up.

Verdict: Monitor team news. If confirmed fit before deadline, get him in.

At just £6.2m and 1.9% ownership, captaining Mac Allister also gives you a differential edge over rivals who will flock to the likes of more heavily-owned assets. The expected points of 7.8 is the highest figure in today's data, and Liverpool's form under Arne Slot makes him the obvious first-choice armband this week.

Alternative captain: Iwobi (Fulham vs West Ham) if you want to go ultra-differential.

The Gameweek 29 deadline is Tuesday, 4th March at 6:00pm. This is an incredibly tight window - get your transfers done before the Tuesday night games kick off. Do not sleep on this one.