Welcome back to Who Got The Points! Thanks for subscribing to the newsletter that cuts through the FPL noise. With the Gameweek 25 deadline hitting Friday, February 6th at 6:30 PM, we're breaking down the must-know transfers, injury updates, and captaincy decisions that could make or break your rank this week.
🚨 Critical News Bulletin
Bukayo Saka Injury Update: The Arsenal star remains doubtful with a muscle injury, though there's a 75% chance he features against Sunderland. Mikel Arteta revealed nothing concrete in his press conference, making this a deadline day decision you'll need to monitor closely.
Gameweek 31 Blank Alert: Manchester City and Crystal Palace are confirmed blanks in GW31 after City reached the EFL Cup final. If you're holding assets from either team long-term, start planning your exit strategy now.
Fulham Rotation Risk: New signing Oscar Bobb could threaten Harry Wilson's minutes, though Marco Silva has suggested rotation rather than outright replacement. Keep this on your radar if you're banking on Wilson's consistency.
📈 Top Three Transfers IN
1. Bruno Fernandes (£9.6m) - ESSENTIAL
Ownership: 31.4% (+383k transfers in)
GW24 Performance: Started and played 90 minutes against Fulham, delivering 2 assists and 2 bonus points for 10 FPL points total
Season Stats: 12 assists, averaging 6.2 points per game under Michael Carrick's interim management
The Portuguese midfielder has back-to-back hauls and faces Spurs at home in GW25 (8.0 expected points), followed by West Ham away in GW26. While fixtures turn after that, his current form under new management makes him essential right now.
Verdict: Essential buy
2. Enzo Fernandez (£6.8m) - GOOD BUY
Ownership: 21.7% (+316k transfers in)
GW24 Performance: Scored and earned 2 bonus points in Chelsea's 3-2 win over West Ham, delivering 8 FPL points after playing the full 90 minutes
Season Stats: 8 goals from midfield position
At £6.8m, Enzo offers both floor and ceiling. Chelsea face Wolves away (5.8 expected points) then Leeds at home in GW26. With 8 goals this season, he's proving to be excellent value for money.
Verdict: Good buy at this price point
3. Joao Pedro (£7.5m) - ESSENTIAL*
Ownership: Nearly 40% (+496k transfers in - most transferred-in player this week)
GW24 Performance: Played 45 minutes as a substitute, scored 1 goal, provided 1 assist, and grabbed 3 bonus points for 10 FPL points total
Season Stats: 9 goals and 5 assists for Chelsea
Against Wolves away he has 7.8 expected points, followed by Leeds at home. At £7.5m with that ceiling, he's a bargain. The only concern? Those 45 minutes suggest potential rotation, but the explosive output justifies the risk.
Verdict: Essential if you can afford the rotation risk
📉 Top Three Transfers OUT
1. Bukayo Saka (£9.9m)
Transfers Out: 327k managers dumping before Sunderland fixture
GW24: Didn't feature due to muscle injury
GW25 Outlook: 75% chance of playing, but only 1.9 expected points
The uncertainty is toxic at £9.9m. If he's fit, Arsenal have decent fixtures (Sunderland home, Brentford away), but you can't have that price tag riding your bench.
Verdict: Sell if you need funds, otherwise hold one more week to assess fitness
2. Bryan Mbeumo (£8.5m)
Net Transfers: 145k brought him in, but 45k already moving him out
GW24 Performance: Just 90 minutes and 2 points with no attacking returns against Fulham in his Man Utd debut
A steep fall from his Brentford form. He's got 5.2 expected points against Spurs, but for £8.5m you need more consistency. Fixtures turn after Spurs (West Ham, Everton), so he might come good, but the value isn't there right now.
Verdict: Sell for better options
3. Marcos Senesi (£4.8m)
Transfers In: 108k managers chasing value
GW24: Clean sheet against Wolves for 8 points (played full 90 minutes)
Despite the clean sheet, Bournemouth have conceded 42 goals this season - relegation-level defending. Aston Villa away isn't a clean sheet fixture, followed by Everton and West Ham. At £4.8m, you're better off with Liverpool or Arsenal defenders for slightly more.
Verdict: Hold if you need bench fodder, sell if upgrading
💎 Three Differential Picks Under 5% Ownership
Morgan Gibbs-White (£7.3m, 3.6% owned) - Scored in Forest's 1-1 draw with Palace for 8 points. Playing 90 minutes with 6 goals and 2 assists this season. On set pieces for Nottingham Forest with 6.5 expected points against Leeds away Friday night.
Ibrahima Konate (£5.4m, under 3% owned) - Scored Liverpool's opener against Newcastle, playing 90 minutes for 11 points with bonus. Despite Man City away this weekend, then it's Sunderland away and Forest at home. Cheap access to Liverpool defense.
Noni Madueke (£6.8m, 0.8% owned) - The ultimate punt. Now at Arsenal, he scored, assisted, grabbed 3 bonus points and a clean sheet in 60 minutes for 14 FPL points in GW24. Sample size is tiny and rotation risk is real under Arteta, but at that ownership against Sunderland at home, he's explosive differential material.
⚡ Captaincy Decision: GW25
Top Pick: Joao Pedro vs Wolves (A)
Chelsea are flying, Pedro is in ridiculous form, and Wolves have been leaky. 7.8 expected points tells the story. This is the ceiling play.
Safe Option: Bruno Fernandes vs Spurs (H)
If you want security over explosive potential, Bruno at home to Spurs offers a solid floor with decent upside.
🎯 Key Tip for Long-Term Planning
Don't forget the GW31 blank! If you're loading up on Man City and Crystal Palace assets, have an exit strategy or bench cover ready. Getting caught short when that blank arrives could tank your rank.
📊 Quick Reference: GW25 Key Stats
Most transferred IN: Joao Pedro (496k)
Most transferred OUT: Bukayo Saka (327k)
Highest expected points: Joao Pedro vs Wolves (7.8 xP)
Best value midfielder: Enzo Fernandez (£6.8m, 8 goals)
Top differential: Noni Madueke (0.8% owned, 14 points in GW24)
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That's your complete GW25 breakdown. Make those moves, set that team, and we'll see you tomorrow with fresh FPL insights. Deadline is Friday, February 6th at 6:30 PM - don't miss it!
Good luck this gameweek! 🚀
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