Welcome to your Gameweek 15 deadline newsletter! With just hours to go until Saturday's 11 AM deadline, we're breaking down the essential moves, defensive stars, and differential gems from the midweek fixtures. Gameweek 14 delivered some explosive performances that demand immediate attention for your FPL squad.
🔥 Urgent Transfer Deadline News
Minteh
J.Timber
Before we dive into the player analysis, here's what you need to know right now:
Michael Keane remains doubtful for Everton with a knock - 75% chance of featuring against Nottingham Forest but was kept on the bench as a precaution in the 1-0 win over Bournemouth
Moises Caicedo's suspension continues - ruled out until December 20th, making him an immediate sell
Ismaila Sarr still sidelined with ankle problem - no return date confirmed by Oliver Glasner, avoid all Palace midfield punts
Man City kept an unchanged XI for their 9-goal thriller - rotation concerns ease slightly
Fixtures coming thick and fast - rotation is real, plan your transfers carefully with both GW15 and GW16 in mind
📈 Top 3 Transfers IN - Act Fast
1. Phil Foden - £8.2m (MID) - ESSENTIAL
Transfers In: 256,000+ managers
GW14 Performance: 17 points (2 goals, 3 bonus points)
Season Stats: 5 goals, 1 assist in 12 appearances | 65 total points | Form: 9.2
The Foden explosion is here. His masterclass against Fulham saw him play the full 90 minutes, score twice, and claim maximum bonus points for his second double-digit haul in three gameweeks. This isn't a flash in the pan - his form of 9.2 is elite tier.
Why he's essential:
Sunderland (H) in GW15 - projected 9.7 expected points
Under 10% ownership makes him a genuine differential captain option
Man City's attack is firing again after their 9-goal thriller
At £8.2m, he's premium value compared to other City attackers
Verdict: Essential if you can afford him. This is your last chance to get him before his price rises further.
2. Bruno Guimaraes - £6.7m (MID) - EXCELLENT VALUE
Transfers In: 36,000 managers
GW14 Performance: 7 points (1 goal, 1 bonus point in 45 minutes vs Spurs)
Season Stats: 4 goals, 4 assists | 71 total points | Form: 6.2
Bruno G is flying under the radar at just 6% ownership. He scored Newcastle's equalizer against Spurs despite playing only 45 minutes before being substituted, showing his attacking threat even in limited time.
The fixture swing:
GW15: Burnley (H) - 6.2 expected points, Newcastle are heavy favorites
GW16: West Ham (H) - another home banker after Liverpool away
At £6.7m, he offers premium output at mid-range pricing
Verdict: Smart two-week hold with excellent value for midfield depth. The Newcastle midfielder provides consistent returns without breaking the bank.
3. James Tarkowski - £5.4m (DEF) - BUDGET DEFENSIVE GOLD
Transfers In: 7,000 managers
GW14 Performance: 10 points (clean sheet, 2 bonus points vs Bournemouth)
Season Stats: 2 goals, 1 assist | 5 clean sheets | 64 total points | Form: 5.6
The David Moyes effect is real. Everton have kept clean sheets in back-to-back games, and Tarkowski delivered immediately with a 10-point haul including double bonus. He played the full 90 minutes in their 1-0 victory at Bournemouth, showcasing the defensive solidity Moyes has instilled.
What makes him essential:
5.6 expected points vs Nottingham Forest at home in GW15
£5.4m makes him perfect for budget defense rotation
Everton's defensive transformation under Moyes is clear
Mixed fixtures ahead (Chelsea, Arsenal, Burnley) but excellent value at this price
Verdict: Excellent budget defensive option. Everton's improved defensive record makes him a smart pick at £5.4m.
📉 Top 3 Transfers OUT - Sell Before It's Too Late
1. Semenyo - £7.8m (MID) - SELL FOR FUNDS
Transfers Out: 111,000+ managers
GW14 Performance: 4 points (full 90 minutes, no attacking returns)
Season Stats: 6 goals, 4 assists | 80 total points | Form: 1.2 (plummeting)
The Semenyo party is over. Despite 51% ownership (he's in half of all teams!), his form has collapsed to just 1.2. Another blank against Everton shows Bournemouth's attack has gone ice cold.
Why you need to sell:
Brutal fixtures: Chelsea (A), Man City (H), Man United (A)
Form of 1.2 is relegation-level for a £7.8m midfielder
That double-digit haul feels like a distant memory
Free up £7.8m for in-form alternatives like Foden or Bruno G
Verdict: Sell if you need funds elsewhere. The fixtures and form make this an easy decision.
2. Moises Caicedo - £5.9m (MID) - URGENT SELL
Transfers Out: 91,000 managers
Status: Suspended until December 20th
This is the easiest sell decision you'll make all season. Caicedo is banned until December 20th, missing multiple gameweeks including crucial fixtures. Before his red card, he'd accumulated 58 points with 3 goals, 1 assist, and 4 clean sheets - valuable defensive contribution that's now completely useless.
The math is simple:
Chelsea play Leeds, Bournemouth (A), Everton (H), and Newcastle (A) without him
That's THREE gameweeks of dead weight on your bench
£5.9m can fund critical upgrades elsewhere
Even when he returns, fixtures improve but you've lost weeks of value
Verdict: Sell immediately. You cannot hold a suspended player through this fixture pile-up.
3. Ismaila Sarr - £6.6m (MID) - MOVE ON
Transfers Out: 62,000 managers
Status: Ankle injury with no return date
The ankle injury saga continues with no light at the end of the tunnel. Oliver Glasner hasn't provided any positive updates, and Crystal Palace face a tough fixture run even when Sarr returns to fitness.
Why it's time to move on:
No return date means indefinite absence
Stuck on 50 points from 11 appearances with form of 1.8 before injury
Palace fixtures: Burnley (A), Fulham (A), Man City (H) - unappealing even when fit
£6.6m is better spent on in-form alternatives
Verdict: Sell and move on. The uncertainty and poor fixtures make this an easy decision.
💎 Differential Goldmine - High-Risk, High-Reward Picks
Samuel Chukwueze - £5.3m (MID) - 0.1% Ownership
GW14 Performance: 12 points (2 goals from the bench, 1 bonus point)
Season Stats: 2 goals, 3 assists | 28 total points
This is the ultimate differential punt. Chukwueze came off the bench at halftime against Man City and scored twice, earning 12 points including bonus. At just 0.1% ownership, he's basically invisible to your rivals.
The case for Chukwueze:
£5.3m is dirt cheap for a player Marco Silva clearly trusts
Fulham face Crystal Palace (H) in GW15 - attacking returns are possible
Burnley (A) in GW16 offers another green fixture
If he starts, the upside is enormous for mini-league swings
The Risk: He came off the bench, so there's no guarantee of starts. This is a high-risk, high-reward differential that could backfire if he doesn't feature.
Verdict: Risky but huge upside if he starts. Only for managers willing to gamble on bench rotation.
Jeremy Doku - £6.0m (MID) - 1% Ownership
GW14 Performance: 8 points (2 assists in 63 minutes)
Season Stats: 1 goal, 6 assists | 56 total points | Form: 5.2
Doku offers steady differential value with consistent minutes. He impressed in Man City's thriller with 2 assists despite playing just 63 minutes, averaging 4.7 points per game this season.
Why he's worth considering:
£6.0m provides access to City's attack without breaking the bank
1% ownership means huge differential potential
6 assists in 12 games shows consistent end product
Man City face Sunderland (H) then better fixtures ahead
Verdict: Not explosive but reliable at that price point. Perfect for managers seeking consistent differential returns.
👑 Captaincy & Key Strategy Tip
Captain Pick: Phil Foden is the standout choice against Sunderland at home. If you don't own him, Erling Haaland remains the obvious safe option for that fixture. With 14 points in GW14 (1 goal, 2 assists), Haaland continues to deliver and sits on 120 total points for the season.
🎯 Critical Strategy Tip: Think Two Gameweeks Ahead
Don't just look at Saturday's fixtures in isolation. Players with two good games back-to-back (GW15 and GW16) offer significantly better value than one-week punts. This is especially important with fixtures coming thick and fast.
Teams with excellent two-week runs:
Newcastle: Burnley (H), then West Ham (H) after Liverpool away
Liverpool: Strong fixtures continue with attacking dominance
Arsenal: Favorable run with home advantage
Everton: Forest (H), Chelsea (H) - Moyes' defensive solidity pays off
This approach prevents knee-jerk transfers and maximizes value from each move. Plan ahead!
🛡️ Defensive Contribution Spotlight
Gameweek 14 proved that defensive contributions plus attacking threat equals FPL gold. Here are the standout performers who dominated through both attack and defense:
Top Performers:
Phil Foden (MID): 17 points - topped all midfielders through sheer attacking involvement while contributing defensively
James Tarkowski (DEF): 10 points - led defenders with clean sheet and double bonus
Jeremy Doku (MID): 8 points - 2 assists in 63 minutes with defensive work rate
Bruno Guimaraes (MID): 7 points - goal plus tackles and interceptions despite 45 minutes
The lesson: Don't overlook how midfielders and forwards contribute defensively through tackles, interceptions, and work rate. These hidden points add up alongside attacking returns.
⏰ Deadline Day Checklist
Before Saturday's 11 AM deadline, make sure you've covered these bases:
✅ Sell Moises Caicedo immediately (suspended until Dec 20)
✅ Consider moving Semenyo out if you need funds for Foden or Bruno G
✅ Check if Sarr is taking up a valuable slot - no return date confirmed
✅ Evaluate your captaincy: Foden vs Sunderland (H) is the differential pick
✅ Plan for BOTH GW15 and GW16 together - don't make one-week punts
✅ Consider budget defensive coverage like Tarkowski (£5.4m)
✅ Review your bench for Michael Keane uncertainty (75% chance vs Forest)
That's your comprehensive Gameweek 15 deadline guide. The midweek fixtures have given us clear signals about who's in form and who needs to go. Make those transfers count before Saturday's cutoff, and remember to think two gameweeks ahead for maximum value.
Good luck, and may your captain haul big! 🚀
Want to win your Fantasy Premier League mini-leagues?
Get 30% off Fantasy Football Hub today for advanced stats, player projections, and expert analysis.
Subscribe to Who Got The Points? for daily FPL insights delivered straight to your inbox.