Welcome to your Friday FPL briefing! Thanks for subscribing to Who Got The Points. With the Gameweek 24 deadline just 24 hours away (Saturday, January 31 at 1:30 PM), we're breaking down everything you need to know about the biggest movers, smartest picks, and that crucial captain decision.
🚨 Breaking News You Need to Know
Chalobah
João Pedro
Champions League fixture congestion is about to hit Newcastle hard. While Chelsea, Liverpool, Spurs and Man City have secured direct passage to the last sixteen, Newcastle face two additional play-off games. This means serious rotation risk for Newcastle assets over the coming weeks - factor this into your transfer planning.
Man United's attacking assets are on fire. Mbeumo scored 10 points in GW23 with a goal and maximum bonus against Arsenal, while B.Fernandes added another assist. Both look essential heading into their home fixture against Fulham.
Arsenal's defensive vulnerability exposed. Conceding three goals at home has Gabriel owners nervous despite his massive 37.6% ownership. However, the Leeds away fixture this weekend could offer redemption.
Brentford's blank at Crystal Palace has sparked a massive Thiago sell-off. Zero attacking returns means nearly 200,000 managers have moved him on this week.
📈 Top 3 Transfer Targets IN
1. Mbeumo (Man Utd) - £8.3m | 15.6% owned
Over half a million managers brought him in this week, and for good reason. The Brazilian netted his eighth goal of the season in GW23, scoring 10 points with a goal and maximum bonus in the win over Arsenal.
Playing as an out-and-out striker under Michael Carrick
8 goals and 1 assist so far this season (93 total points)
Home fixture against Fulham looks extremely tasty
Consistent returns with bonus magnet status
VERDICT: Essential purchase if you can afford him. A genuine captain candidate for GW24.
2. B.Fernandes (Man Utd) - £9.5m | 24.0% owned
600,000 transfers in says everything. Bruno assisted in the Arsenal win and now has an impressive 10 assists and 5 goals this season. He's on every set piece for United and has explosive potential against Fulham at home.
Expected 4.4 points vs Fulham (likely conservative given form)
On all set pieces for an in-form United side
Fixtures turn after GW24, but immediate returns look likely
VERDICT: Buy now. Captain material for Gameweek 24.
3. Gabriel (Arsenal) - £6.9m | 37.6% owned
Template material at nearly 38% ownership. Yes, he scored just 1 point in GW23 after Arsenal conceded three at home, but his season numbers remain elite.
10 clean sheets this season - exceptional for his price
8.8 expected points for GW24 vs Leeds
Set piece threat adds attacking upside
Arsenal away to Leeds isn't a terrible fixture despite the blip
VERDICT: Good buy for the fixtures ahead. Don't overreact to one bad gameweek.
📉 Top 3 Players to SELL
1. Thiago (Brentford) - £7.2m | 37.0% owned
Nearly 200,000 managers shipped him out after his GW23 blank. Scored just 2 points against Brentford with zero goals or assists, and suddenly looks mortal after weeks of dominance.
Still has 16 goals this season - impressive output
But the returns have dried up at a crucial time
7 expected points vs Aston Villa suggests potential bounce back
Fixtures after GW24 are mixed
VERDICT: Don't panic sell yet. One blank doesn't erase 16 goals. If you have bigger fires to fight, hold for one more week. But if you're wildcarding or need funds urgently, he's moveable.
2. Tarkowski (Everton) - £5.8m | 14.0% owned
The Everton defender is hemorrhaging managers after scoring 4 points in GW23 when Everton drew 1-1 with Leeds.
9 clean sheets is solid but not outstanding at his price
Everton's defensive record is wobbling under Moyes
5.4 expected points vs Brighton away isn't inspiring
At £5.8m, you want more security
VERDICT: Sell if you can upgrade to a premium defender with better fixtures.
3. Trossard (Arsenal) - £6.8m | 1.5% owned
Low ownership but those who have him are selling fast. Just 2 points in GW23 after playing 74 minutes without returns against Man United.
Only 5 goals and 4 assists all season at £6.8m
Brutal rotation risk under Arteta
Not nailed even with Arsenal's decent fixtures
4.8 expected points shows the algorithm doesn't rate him
VERDICT: Sell and use the funds on a more reliable asset.
💎 Differential Picks (Under 10% Ownership)
Gibbs-White (Nott'm Forest) - £7.3m | 3.1% owned
Scored 6 points in GW23 with an assist and clean sheet against Brentford. Under Sean Dyche, Forest are playing solid football and Gibbs-White is integral to their attack.
5 goals and 2 assists this season
On set pieces for Forest
Crystal Palace at home in GW24 looks promising
5.6 expected points - genuine differential captain shout for the brave
Matheus N (Man City) - £5.4m | 3.3% owned
Explosive 11-point haul in GW23 with an assist, clean sheet and maximum bonus against Wolves. At £5.4m, this is exceptional value.
8 clean sheets and 5 assists from defence this season (105 total points)
Trusted by Pep Guardiola
Bargain enabler who actually delivers returns
City away to Spurs is tough, but 5.5 expected points shows promise
⚡ Captain Pick for Gameweek 24
The standout choice: Mbeumo
Man United at home to Fulham, in red-hot form, 8 goals this season, and playing as the main striker. Marco Silva's defence has been leaky, and with Mbeumo's bonus magnet status, he could easily deliver 15+ points.
Safer alternatives: B.Fernandes in the same fixture or Gabriel away to Leeds if you want defensive security. But for ceiling potential? Mbeumo all day.
🎯 Key Tip to Close
Don't panic sell Thiago yet. One blank doesn't erase 16 goals. If you have bigger fires to fight like injured players or terrible fixtures elsewhere, hold him for one more week. But if you're on a wildcard or free hit, then yes, move him on.
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Gameweek 24 deadline: Saturday, January 31 at 1:30 PM. Get those transfers locked in, back your differentials, and trust your gut on that armband. We'll be back tomorrow with more in-depth analysis.
May your captain haul and your differentials deliver!