Welcome back to Who Got The Points! Thanks for subscribing to your daily FPL newsletter that cuts through the noise and delivers exactly what you need to know. With the Gameweek 22 deadline hitting Saturday morning at 11:00am, we've got Manchester derby drama, Chelsea injury concerns, and some absolutely explosive differential picks that could swing your mini-league. Let's dive straight in.
🚨 Critical News Bulletin
Chelsea Injury Crisis: Palmer and James both missed Gameweek 21's defeat at Fulham, and manager Enzo Maresca is keeping tight-lipped on their availability for Saturday's clash with Brentford. If Palmer sits out again, that's a £7.5m headache for 25% of managers. Monitor press conferences closely.
Haaland Fatigue Warning: Reports suggest Haaland is exhausted heading into Man City's early Saturday kickoff against Man Utd. He blanked again in Gameweek 21 with just 2 points against Brighton. Is he still worth captaining in the derby?
BGW31 Planning: Blank Gameweek 31 is looming large on the horizon. Start planning your squad structure now, particularly around which teams will have fixtures. This affects long-term transfer strategy massively.
West Ham Signings: Two new forwards at £5.5m each, but they're unlikely to be instantly FPL relevant given their price point and settling-in period.
🔥 Essential Transfers In
1. Thiago (Brentford, £7.1m) - ESSENTIAL
Ownership: 34.8% | Transfers In: 475,000 this week | Season Stats: 16 goals, 1 assist in 21 games
GW21 Performance: 2 goals, 12 points (including maximum bonus) against Sunderland in 81 minutes. That's 120 total points this season - absolutely electric output.
The Case: The Bees face Chelsea at Stamford Bridge on Saturday, and with the Blues' defensive injuries mounting, this could be another haul. At 16 goals in 21 appearances, he's the most in-form forward in the game right now.
Verdict: ESSENTIAL. If you don't own him, you're playing catch-up every single gameweek.
2. Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle, £7.2m) - ESSENTIAL
Ownership: 22.1% | Transfers In: 363,000 this week | Season Stats: 8 goals, 5 assists, 117 total points
GW21 Performance: 1 goal, 1 assist, 11 points in Newcastle's wild 4-3 victory over Leeds. Box-to-box brilliance personified.
The Case: Newcastle face Wolves away on Sunday, and the Magpies are flying under Eddie Howe. Bruno's on set pieces, he's got serious goal threat, and he's consistently delivering. With 8.2 expected points for Gameweek 22, he's even entering the captaincy conversation.
Verdict: ESSENTIAL if you can afford the upgrade from midfield options. He's delivering premium returns at a mid-price.
3. Kelleher (Brentford, £4.5m) - GREAT VALUE
Ownership: 9.7% | Transfers In: 85,000 this week | Season Stats: 81 total points
GW21 Performance: 13 points with clean sheet and bonus against Sunderland. Made crucial saves throughout.
The Case: At £4.5m, he's incredible value rotating with your other keeper. Brentford's defensive record is improving, and for that price, he's a set-and-forget option who actually delivers points.
Verdict: GOOD. Perfect enabler who provides genuine returns, not just price filler.
⚠️ Players to Transfer Out
1. Palmer (Chelsea, £8.8m) - SELL IF INJURED
Ownership: 25% (that's 1 in 4 managers)
The Issue: If he's confirmed out injured for the Brentford game, you need to move fast. He's already missed one game, and with Chelsea facing Brentford's solid defense, even if fit, it's not the dream fixture. 25% ownership means price drops are coming.
The Strategy: If the press conference confirms he's out, sell immediately. If doubtful, hold one more day for clarity. Don't panic sell before confirmation.
Verdict: SELL IF INJURED, hold if fit. Monitor news closely.
2. Dorgu (Man Utd, £4.2m) - SELL
Ownership: 7% | Transfers Out: 45,000 this week
The Issue: Yes, he got an assist in Gameweek 21 playing 90 minutes in the 2-2 draw with Burnley, but Man Utd's defense is a mess. Just two clean sheets all season. He's dropped in price already.
The Alternative: Redirect those funds to Tarkowski at Everton who has eight clean sheets, or use the money to upgrade elsewhere.
Verdict: SELL. Man Utd face Man City in the derby - another battering could be coming.
3. Trossard (Arsenal, £6.9m) - SELL
Ownership: 1.7% | Season Stats: 5 goals, 4 assists
GW21 Performance: Just 2 points playing 63 minutes in the goalless draw with Liverpool.
The Issue: Rotation risk under Mikel Arteta. Five goals and four assists sounds decent, but for £6.9m, you need guaranteed minutes. With Arsenal facing Forest away on Saturday, he might not even start.
Verdict: SELL. Upgrade to Rice if you want Arsenal coverage - he's nailed on.
💎 Explosive Differential Picks
These are the picks that could swing your mini-league. Low ownership, high ceiling, perfect for managers chasing rank.
1. Aaronson (Leeds, £5.4m) - 0.5% OWNED 🚀
Ownership: Just 0.5% | Transfers In: 46,000 this week | Season Stats: 4 goals, 6 assists, 84 total points
GW21 Explosion: 2 goals against Newcastle for 14 points including bonus. Absolutely electric performance.
The Case: Leeds host Fulham on Saturday. At £5.4m with that output and under 1% ownership, he's the ultimate differential. If he hauls again, you'll jump thousands of ranks while your rivals sleep on him.
Verdict: MINI-LEAGUE WINNER potential. This is the exact type of pick that separates top managers from the pack.
2. Lewis-Potter (Brentford, £4.9m) - 2.4% OWNED
Ownership: 2.4% | Transfers In: 22,000 this week | Season Stats: 2 goals, 1 assist, 6 clean sheets
GW21 Performance: Played 60 minutes and kept a clean sheet for 6 points against Sunderland.
The Secret Weapon: He's classified as a defender but plays as a wing-back, giving you attacking returns AND clean sheet potential. At £4.9m, he's the ultimate bench enabler who might outscore your starters.
Verdict: SMART DIFFERENTIAL. With Brentford's fixtures turning, he's perfect for managers who need squad depth that delivers.
3. Matheus Nunes (Man City, £5.5m) - 4.6% OWNED
Ownership: 4.6% | Transfers In: 68,000 this week | Season Stats: 7 clean sheets, 1 goal, 4 assists
The Case: City face United in the derby on Saturday. While he only managed 2 points in Gameweek 21, he played 72 minutes. At £5.5m with City's attacking upside, he's worth a punt for managers chasing rank.
Verdict: DIFFERENTIAL OPTION for the brave. Lower ceiling than the others but Man City assets have explosive potential.
👑 Captaincy Decision
The Safe Pick: Salah remains the obvious choice with Liverpool hosting Burnley on Saturday. Template captaincy that protects your rank.
The Differential Captain: If you're chasing in your mini-league, Thiago against Chelsea's injury-hit defense is the explosive call. With 16 goals this season and facing a vulnerable Blues backline, he could deliver the haul that separates you from your rivals.
🎯 Key Takeaways for GW22
Don't waste your free transfer this week - BGW31 planning means every transfer counts toward your squad structure
Monitor Chelsea press conferences closely for Palmer and James injury updates before making transfer decisions
Thiago is no longer a differential - at 34.8% ownership, he's becoming essential
Consider Aaronson at 0.5% ownership as the mini-league winning differential
Plan two weeks ahead with blank fixtures coming in GW23
Deadline is Saturday morning at 11:00am - make your moves early to avoid price changes
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That's your lot for today! Gameweek 22 deadline is Saturday morning at 11:00am. Make your moves, trust your gut, and remember: in fantasy football, fortune favors the brave.
Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily updates, and we'll see you tomorrow with more FPL insights. Good luck, and may your differentials haul!