Welcome back to your Gameweek 20 briefing! Thanks for subscribing to Who Got The Points? – your essential FPL companion. This weekend brings major drama with Bruno Fernandes injured, Chelsea's managerial upheaval, and some crucial transfer decisions to make. Let's break down everything you need to know to maximize your points this gameweek.
🚨 Breaking News: What You Need to Know
Three major developments are shaking up FPL ahead of Gameweek 20:
Bruno Fernandes is out with a hamstring injury until around January 17th, missing at least two gameweeks including the Leeds fixture. Over 68,000 managers have already transferred him out.
Chelsea manager Enzo Maresca has left the club right before their Sunday clash against Manchester City. The timing adds uncertainty to Chelsea's assets, though their fixtures remain favorable.
Yellow card suspensions have reset – all teams have now played 19 games, meaning the five-card ban threshold has passed. Players can accumulate cards without immediate suspension fears until the next threshold.
📈 Top 3 Transfers IN for Gameweek 20
1. Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle) - £7.0m
Ownership: 14.7% (+115,000 transfers in)
Recent Form: The Brazilian midfielder delivered 10 points in GW19, scoring against Burnley and picking up three bonus points. He's now sitting on 96 total points for the season, averaging a solid 5.3 points per game with 6 goals and 4 assists.
Fixture Analysis: Newcastle host Crystal Palace this weekend (difficulty rating: 3/5). Palace have been vulnerable defensively, and the home advantage at St James' Park makes this an attractive fixture.
Verdict: Good option. Bruno G is delivering consistent returns and Newcastle's fixtures are improving. At £7.0m, he's competing with other premium midfield assets, but his form and Newcastle's momentum make him worth considering. He's become a reliable FPL asset with attacking threat and bonus point potential.
2. Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa) - £8.6m
Ownership: 8.2% (+80,000 transfers in)
Recent Form: Watkins reminded everyone he's back in form with a goal against Arsenal on New Year's Day, earning 5 points. His season tally stands at 6 goals and 2 assists for 72 total points, though he's averaging 3.8 points per game – showing some inconsistency throughout the campaign.
Fixture Analysis: Villa host Nottingham Forest on Saturday (difficulty rating: 2/5). Forest conceded twice at Everton in GW19, exposing defensive vulnerabilities. Watkins has an expected points projection of 7.0 for this weekend.
Verdict: Good buy. The fixtures are turning green for Villa, and Watkins is their primary goal threat. His recent goal against Arsenal shows he's finding form at the perfect time. The main caveat is his inconsistency this season with an average below 4.0 PPG, but the upcoming fixture run makes him an attractive option if you can afford the £8.6m price tag.
3. Caoimhín Kelleher (Brentford) - £4.5m
Ownership: 8.6% (+16,000 transfers in)
Recent Form: The Brentford goalkeeper kept a clean sheet against Spurs in GW19, earning 6 points. He's accumulated 66 total points from 19 games with 4 clean sheets this season. Even without shutouts, Kelleher consistently delivers save points.
Fixture Analysis: Brentford travel to Everton on Sunday. While Everton at home can be tricky, Kelleher's ability to rack up save points keeps him relevant regardless of the clean sheet outcome.
Verdict: Essential. If you need a budget goalkeeper who plays every week and delivers consistent returns, Kelleher is your man. At £4.5m, he's gold dust – freeing up crucial funds for premium attackers while providing reliable goalkeeper points. That price point combined with guaranteed minutes makes him one of the best budget enablers in FPL.
📉 Top 3 Transfers OUT for Gameweek 20
1. Bruno Fernandes (Manchester United) - £9.1m
Ownership: 12.4% (-70,000 transfers out)
The Issue: Hamstring injury rules him out until mid-January, missing at least two gameweeks. He's been decent this season with 99 points, 5 goals and 7 assists, but that £9.1m is locked away doing nothing while he's injured.
Fixture Context: Man United face Leeds, Burnley, and then the Manchester derby. Without Fernandes, their creativity takes a significant hit.
Verdict: Sell. There's no point holding an injured premium asset. Free up that cash for active players who can deliver points now. The fixtures might be decent, but injured players score zero points. Move him on and reinvest that £9.1m wisely.
2. Phil Foden (Manchester City) - £9.0m
Ownership: 40.0% (-96,000 transfers out)
Recent Form: The City midfielder managed just 3 points against Sunderland despite playing 90 minutes in the goalless draw. He's on 96 points this season with 7 goals and 2 assists, but his form has dipped recently.
Fixture Analysis: City face Chelsea on Sunday (difficulty rating: 3/5). Chelsea just drew with Bournemouth and their managerial situation is uncertain. Chelsea's defensive issues could present opportunities for City's attackers.
Verdict: Hold. The concern with Foden is consistency, but Chelsea's defensive vulnerabilities and managerial chaos could create openings. City need to bounce back after the Sunderland disappointment, and Foden's attacking potential remains high. Give him one more week before making a decision – selling premium City assets during a favorable fixture could backfire.
3. Marc Guéhi (Crystal Palace) - £5.3m
Ownership: 41.5% (-67,000 transfers out)
Recent Form: The Palace defender blanked in GW19 with just 2 points in the 1-1 draw with Fulham. He's had a solid season overall with 97 points, 6 clean sheets, 2 goals and 4 assists – excellent value for his price.
Fixture Analysis: Palace face Newcastle away this weekend (difficulty rating: 4/5). Newcastle are in good form after scoring three at Burnley. Palace's defensive fixtures are about to get tougher in the short term.
Verdict: Hold if you have him. He's still excellent value at £5.3m with solid underlying stats. Palace's fixtures improve after this challenging week. If you're bringing in defenders for the first time, look elsewhere for now, but existing owners shouldn't panic sell a defender who's delivered 97 points this season.
💎 Differential Picks Under 10% Ownership
Looking for a rank boost? These three players under 10% ownership could explode this gameweek:
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Everton) - £7.9m, 5% owned: Was benched against Forest but could return against Brentford at home. Everton's fixtures look promising, and if he starts, he's a genuine goal threat with low ownership.
Jacob Ramsey (Aston Villa) - £6.0m, <5% owned: Villa face Forest at home in a favorable fixture. Ramsey's been involved in attacks and represents a budget midfielder with upside during Villa's green fixture run.
Joachim Andersen (Fulham) - £4.8m, <8% owned: Despite facing Liverpool this week (tough fixture), Andersen's season stats show consistent defensive contributions. His budget price makes him an enabler option with FPL pedigree.
Important note: These are punts with risk attached, but with low ownership, they offer significant rank jumps if they deliver. Perfect for mini-league chasing or taking calculated gambles in your draft teams.
⚽ Captaincy Pick: Erling Haaland
The Safe Choice: Erling Haaland (Manchester City) - £15.1m, 74% owned
Expected Points: 7.5 against Chelsea
Yes, City drew with Sunderland, but Haaland still played 90 minutes and had chances. Chelsea's defence conceded twice to Bournemouth, and with managerial upheaval at Stamford Bridge, there's uncertainty in their defensive organization.
Haaland has 19 goals this season, and City will be desperate to bounce back after their disappointing result. He remains the safe, sensible captaincy choice with the highest ceiling among premium assets.
Alternative Option: Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) - £9.1m, 36% owned, 7.7 expected points against Fulham. However, Haaland's ceiling remains higher, making him the recommended captain for GW20.
🎯 Key Tip for This Week
Don't panic sell your City assets. Yes, the Sunderland draw was disappointing, but they face Chelsea at home – a fixture where City's quality should shine through. Chelsea have defensive issues and managerial uncertainty. City have the squad depth and attacking firepower to turn it around. Selling premium assets during favorable fixture swings can backfire spectacularly. Hold your nerve and back City's class to prevail.
📊 Quick Summary: Your GW20 Action Plan
Transfer IN: Caoimhín Kelleher (essential budget keeper) and Bruno Guimarães (consistent midfielder with great fixtures)
Transfer OUT: Bruno Fernandes (injured, must sell) – reinvest that £9.1m immediately
Captain: Erling Haaland against Chelsea's uncertain defence
Hold: Phil Foden and Marc Guéhi – don't make knee-jerk decisions on quality assets
Differentials: Consider Calvert-Lewin, Ramsey, or Andersen if chasing ranks
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That's your Gameweek 20 briefing! Kelleher and Bruno Guimarães are the smart moves in. Fernandes needs to go if you own him. Captain Haaland and back City to respond. Good luck this weekend, and may your arrows be green! 🚀
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