Welcome to your daily FPL fix! Thanks for subscribing to Who Got The Points. In the next few minutes, we're breaking down everything you need to know for Gameweek 16, including four critical injury updates, three essential transfer targets, the players you need to sell, and some explosive differentials flying under the radar.

🚨 Critical News Bulletin

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Foden

Four injury and availability updates that could impact your transfer plans:

  • Riccardo Calafiori suspended - Misses Arsenal's home clash with Wolves on Saturday. Arsenal's best centre-back pairing disrupted.

  • Daniel Munoz injury concern - Missed Crystal Palace's 2-1 win at Fulham. No clarity yet on availability for the City game. Affects 36% of managers.

  • Luton Nmecha rated 50% chance - Hamstring issue kept him out of the Liverpool draw. Monitor before deadline.

  • Amadou Onana fit - David Moyes confirmed he's available despite a recent knock. Everton's midfield stays solid ahead of Chelsea trip.

📈 Three Players Flying Into Squads

1. Marc Guehi (£5.2m) - ESSENTIAL ⭐

Ownership: 36.1% • GW15 Points: 8 • Total Points: 91 • PPG: 6.5

Season stats: 2 goals, 4 assists from defence - exceptional attacking output for a £5.2m defender.

Guehi scored against Fulham in GW15, continuing his remarkable run of attacking returns. The underlying numbers are exceptional - he plays every minute, takes set pieces when attacking, and gets forward constantly under Oliver Glasner's system.

Fixtures: Crystal Palace face Manchester City next (not ideal), but then enjoy a favourable run including Sunderland and Leeds.

Verdict: Essential. At this price with this output, he's a must-have defender. The attacking returns from a budget defender make him one of the best value picks in the game.

2. Jarrod Bowen (£7.5m) - Good Option

Ownership: 5.5% • GW15 Points: 9 • Season: 4 goals, 2 assists

The West Ham forward bagged 9 points against Brighton with a goal and three bonus. Critically, he's been reclassified as a forward this season which adds significant value to his output.

Just 5.5% ownership means he's still flying under the radar. Bowen's playing as the central striker in Nuno Espirito Santo's system, getting serious goal threat. He registered multiple shots against Brighton and looks sharp.

Fixtures: West Ham face Aston Villa next, then Manchester City and Fulham in GW17 and GW18.

Verdict: Good option. Not essential given the upcoming fixtures, but a strong differential for those willing to back West Ham's attack.

3. Richarlison (£6.4m) - Good Option

Ownership: 7.6% • GW15 Points: 8 • Season: 6 goals, 2 assists

The Spurs forward scored and grabbed 8 points against Brentford. He started and played the full 90 minutes, adding two bonus points alongside his clean sheet point. 47,000 managers transferred him in this week.

Thomas Frank's system is creating chances and Richarlison looks nailed when fit. The algorithm gives him 4.2 expected points for the Forest fixture.

Fixtures: Spurs have Nottingham Forest away next, then Liverpool at home in GW17.

Verdict: Good option. Cheaper than the premium forwards, reasonable fixtures, and clearly first choice up front for Spurs right now.

📉 Three Players to Sell

1. Eberechi Eze (£7.8m) - SELL 🚨

Ownership: 19.2% • GW15 Points: 1 (45 minutes) • Transfers out: 120,000

This one hurts. Eze started the season brilliantly, but his transfer to Arsenal changes everything. He managed just 45 minutes against his former club Aston Villa, scoring just 1 point in GW15.

While his underlying numbers earlier in the campaign were excellent, he's now competing with Saka, Martinelli, and Sterling for minutes. Arsenal have Wolves at home next which is tasty, but can you trust his minutes under Mikel Arteta?

Verdict: Sell. Take the funds and reinvest in someone guaranteed to start. The minutes uncertainty at Arsenal makes him impossible to trust.

2. Ollie Watkins (£8.5m) - SELL

Ownership: 7.0% • GW15 Points: 2 (65 minutes) • Total Points: 45 • PPG: 3.0

Just 3 goals all season from an £8.5m forward simply isn't good enough. The underlying stats show he's not getting into dangerous positions consistently.

Villa's fixtures include West Ham away, then Manchester United at home in GW17. Interestingly, 45,000 managers brought him in this week, which feels like chasing last season's form.

Verdict: Sell. Your forward spots need guaranteed returners at this price point, and Watkins isn't delivering the goods.

3. Nick Woltemade (£7.5m) - HOLD

Ownership: 23.4% • GW15 Points: 2 (73 minutes) • Season: 5 goals, 2 assists

Ownership at 23.4% makes him one of the most popular forwards, but he blanked against Burnley despite playing 73 minutes. 98,000 moved him out in this cycle - nearly 30,000 more than brought him in.

The problem? When ownership is this high and form dips, the price drops quickly. He's already seen 5 price changes. Newcastle have Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby next.

Verdict: Hold for now. The derby could spark him back to life, and selling high-owned players in a panic rarely works. Give him the Sunderland fixture before making a decision.

💎 Differential Picks (Under 10% Ownership)

Looking for differentials to separate yourself from the pack? Here are three explosive picks flying under the radar:

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£5.5m) - 1.2% Owned

He scored against Liverpool for 6 points and has 4 goals this season. Leeds face Brentford away in GW16, then Crystal Palace at home. At this price as a starting striker for a decent side, he's criminally under-owned.

Callum Wilson (£5.8m) - 0.9% Owned

He came off the bench and grabbed an assist against Brighton for 4 points. That's 4 goals and 1 assist in limited minutes this season. If he starts forcing his way into Nuno's plans, he's explosive at this price. West Ham face Villa next, and Wilson thrives against physical defenders.

⚡ Captaincy Pick

Erling Haaland - The obvious choice this week.

  • Ownership: 73%

  • Season: 15 goals

  • Fixture: Crystal Palace (A) on Sunday

  • Expected Points: 5.3 (per algorithm)

Yes, he blanked against Sunderland with just 2 points from 68 minutes, but Palace's defence can be breached. Don't overthink it - this is the week to captain the premium asset.

🎯 Key Tip for the Week

Monitor that Daniel Munoz injury news before deadline. If he's out, shift defensive funds elsewhere. Palace's backline loses significant attacking threat without him, and with 36% ownership, you can't afford to waste a transfer slot on an injured defender.

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Good luck in Gameweek 16! 🚀

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