Welcome to your comprehensive Gameweek 13 breakdown! With the deadline hitting Saturday at 1:30 PM, we're diving deep into the biggest transfer moves, the Salah mass exodus, and which differential picks could win you your mini-league. Let's get straight into it.
⚡ Urgent Team News
Rogers
Neto
Leandro Trossard: Flagged doubtful with a knock, 75% chance of playing vs West Ham. He delivered a goal and assist in 77 minutes against Sporting in midweek – monitor Friday's press conferences closely
Morgan Gibbs-White: Also doubtful with a knock, 75% chance of featuring. Fresh off scoring against Ipswich with decent fixtures ahead
Arsenal vs West Ham: The Gunners are heavily favored for clean sheets at home
Newcastle fixtures: Face West Ham next, then Liverpool at home
Mohamed Salah: Just 2 points against Southampton, price has dropped, and over 100,000 managers have already shipped him out
🔥 Top 3 Transfers IN
1. Morgan Rogers (£6.9m) – 7.9% Owned
Transfer Activity: 220,000 managers brought him in this week
Recent Performance: Delivered 15 points in GW12 with 2 goals against Crystal Palace, including 3 bonus points. Now has 3 goals and 2 assists this season with 50 total points.
Next Fixture: Brighton away – not the easiest, but his form is undeniable
The Verdict: Good option. Rogers is operating as Villa's most advanced midfielder under Unai Emery, and at £6.9m, he offers genuine midfield value. His explosiveness makes him a legitimate differential who could separate you from the template teams.
2. Jurrien Timber (£6.3m) – 30.5% Owned
Transfer Activity: 222,000 transfers in this gameweek – ownership has absolutely surged
Season Stats: 2 goals and 3 assists already as Arsenal's attacking fullback. The Gunners have kept 6 clean sheets this season.
GW13 Expected Points: 7.0 vs West Ham at home
The Verdict: Essential for many squads now. At £6.3m with attacking returns AND clean sheet potential, he's set-and-forget material. If you don't own him, seriously consider bringing him in. His combination of defensive security and attacking threat is rare at this price point.
3. Bruno Guimaraes (£6.6m) – 4.0% Owned
Transfer Activity: 58,000 transfers in
GW12 Performance: Provided 2 assists against West Ham, returning 10 points with bonus. Season tally: 3 goals and 4 assists (60 total points).
Upcoming Fixtures: West Ham away, then Liverpool at home
GW13 Expected Points: 6.0
The Verdict: Good differential option. His ownership is still relatively low at 4%, he's on set pieces for Newcastle, and Eddie Howe's side are finding their rhythm. If you need a midfield pivot who can deliver consistent points, Bruno G is worth considering as a genuine differential who could separate you from the pack.
📉 Top 3 Transfers OUT
1. Mohamed Salah (£14.2m) – 23.3% Owned
Transfer Activity: Over 100,000 transfers OUT – this is the big story
GW12 Performance: Blanked against Southampton, returning just 2 points without a goal or assist
Season Stats: 4 goals and 2 assists – not bad in isolation, but well below his usual elite standards
GW13 Expected Points: 5.2 away at Manchester City
The Verdict: This is THE decision of the gameweek. His £14.2m price frees up massive funds for team structure, Liverpool's form has dipped, and City away is a tough fixture. If you're wildcarding or desperately need cash for multiple moves, selling now makes tactical sense. However, if you're holding long-term, this could backfire spectacularly when he inevitably hauls. He's still Mohamed Salah – one of the most explosive players in FPL history. Consider your overall team strategy before making this move.
2. Bukayo Saka (£10.1m) – 17.6% Owned
Transfer Activity: 55,000 managers have moved him out
GW12 Performance: Blanked against Sporting, managing just 4 points without attacking returns
Season Stats: 3 goals, 0 assists – concerning for a £10.1m asset
GW13 Expected Points: 7.3 vs West Ham at home
The Verdict: Hold for now. West Ham at home is a fixture where Arsenal attackers should absolutely feast. Give him one more week before considering a move unless you desperately need funds elsewhere. He's still Mikel Arteta's key winger and Arsenal's primary creative outlet on the right. His underlying numbers remain strong.
3. Robert Sanchez (£4.8m) – 13.5% Owned
Transfer Activity: 22,000 transfers out
GW12 Performance: Kept a clean sheet against Leicester, returning 6 points
Season Stats: 6 clean sheets this season is solid for a £4.8m keeper
GW13 Expected Points: 5.0 away at Aston Villa
The Verdict: Hold if he's your second keeper, but don't rush to bring him in. Chelsea's defense under Enzo Maresca has been genuinely good, but Villa away and then Southampton at home isn't worth burning a transfer unless you're on wildcard. He's a solid set-and-forget option at his price, but not urgent.
💎 Differential Picks (Under 10% Owned)
Bart Verbruggen (£4.4m) – 4.1% Owned
GW12 Performance: Made 7 saves against Bournemouth, returning 7 points with save bonuses
Upcoming Fixtures: Aston Villa (H), Fulham, Leicester – all very playable
GW13 Expected Points: 6.3
Why Consider: At £4.4m, he's the perfect budget enabler who can actually return points through save bonuses. While 2 clean sheets this season isn't spectacular, Brighton's fixtures are improving and he's consistently making saves. This is the keeper differential that could separate you from template teams while freeing up funds elsewhere.
Tomas Soucek (£5.7m) – 0.3% Owned
Upcoming Fixtures: Arsenal (A), Newcastle (A), then Leicester (H)
Season Stats: 2 goals this season
Why Consider: At £5.7m, he offers a super-cheap route into West Ham's attack. West Ham have scored in 8 of 12 games this season. He's a pure enabler option, but with occasional attacking returns from set pieces. Ultra-differential at 0.3% ownership for those needing a cheap midfielder to facilitate premium moves elsewhere. Don't expect consistent returns, but he could deliver a random haul that wins you your mini-league week.
⚡ Captaincy Pick for GW13
The Choice: Jurrien Timber
Arsenal at home to West Ham, where they're massive favorites. Timber has delivered attacking returns, clean sheets are highly likely, and he's playing every single minute for the Gunners. 7.0 expected points from the algorithm.
Safer Alternative: If you want a more conventional pick, Declan Rice offers set piece threat in the same fixture. But Timber's the one with the higher ceiling right now.
🎯 Key Strategy Tip
Don't get stuck chasing last week's points. Make transfers based on fixtures over the next three gameweeks, not just Gameweek 13.
Yes, Morgan Rogers scored twice, but Villa away to Brighton isn't a slam dunk. Arsenal, Newcastle, and Chelsea have great runs coming up. Plan ahead and think about your team structure over multiple gameweeks rather than knee-jerking to one big score.
📊 Quick Summary: Your GW13 Action Plan
Consider the Salah question: Hold for the long game or cash out for team structure?
Timber is approaching essential status at 30.5% ownership – don't get left behind
Rogers offers explosive differential potential at £6.9m
Hold Saka for one more week against West Ham at home
Bruno Guimaraes is the premium midfielder differential at 4% ownership
Look at Verbruggen as a budget keeper enabler with save point potential
Captain Timber for the safe-but-explosive option vs West Ham
Want to dominate your Fantasy Premier League mini-leagues? Get 30% off Fantasy Football Hub using our exclusive link. They've got algorithms, fixture analysis, and advanced tools that give you the edge over your rivals.
That's your comprehensive GW13 breakdown! Get your transfers done, captain wisely, and remember – the deadline is Saturday at 1:30 PM. Good luck!
For daily FPL insights and analysis, subscribe to Who Got The Points?