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Gameweek 13's deadline hits Saturday at 1:30 PM, and we've got transfer targets, differentials, and a crucial captaincy call to nail down. Let's dive into the essential moves you need to make this week.

🚨 Critical News Updates

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Three game-changing developments you need to know about before the deadline:

The Mohamed Salah Situation

The Egyptian king blanked in Gameweek 12 with just 2 points, and more crucially, he's hemorrhaging ownership with over 150,000 managers selling. Liverpool's fixtures turn after this week, triggering a mass exodus. At £14.2m and 23.6% ownership, managers are finally pulling the trigger on the premium asset who's becoming a team structure liability.

Jurrien Timber's Consistency

The Arsenal defender continues to deliver, picking up another 5 points in Gameweek 12 with an assist. He's now sitting at an incredible 31% ownership and has returned in four of his last five games. The consistency is remarkable for a defender at his price point.

Bruno Guimaraes Explodes

The Newcastle midfielder burst into life with 10 points against West Ham, grabbing two assists and maximum bonus. Newcastle's fixtures look excellent, and he's suddenly become essential again at just 4.2% ownership.

📈 Top Three Transfers IN

1. Harvey Barnes (£6.3m) - The Ultimate Differential

Ownership: 1.5%

Transfers In: 116,000+

Total Points: 39

GW12 Performance: 15 points (2 goals)

The Newcastle midfielder just exploded with a brace against West Ham, and he's seeing massive transfer activity. Barnes is playing as a forward in Eddie Howe's system and has 3 goals this season already.

Key Stats:

  • Expected points for GW13: 8.3 (West Ham at home)

  • Position: Playing as a forward in Newcastle's system

  • Season total: 3 goals, 0 assists

  • Price: £6.3m (excellent value)

Verdict: Good buy, but be aware of Newcastle's rotation risk with their European commitments. At 1.5% ownership, he's the ultimate differential who could easily become essential. The fixtures are prime.

2. Emiliano Martinez (£5.0m) - Goalkeeper Stability

Ownership: 4.7%

Transfers In: 52,000+

Total Points: 43

The Aston Villa keeper has been quietly consistent all season. Martinez has 3 clean sheets and 23 saves, showing he's busy behind that defense and picking up save points along the way.

Key Stats:

  • Expected points for GW13: 6.0 (Brentford at home)

  • Season stats: 3 clean sheets, 23 saves

  • Price: £5.0m exactly (reasonable value)

  • Consistency: Averaging solid points week to week

Verdict: Essential if you're looking for goalkeeper stability at a reasonable price. Villa face Brentford at home in GW13, and Martinez offers reliable returns.

3. Bruno Guimaraes (£6.6m) - Peak Form Essential

Ownership: 4.2%

Transfers In: 84,000+

Total Points: 60

GW12 Performance: 10 points (2 assists, maximum bonus)

He's gained 84,000 managers after that 10-pointer, and rightly so. Bruno has been exceptional this season, averaging 5.5 points per game.

Key Stats:

  • Season total: 3 goals, 4 assists, 4 clean sheets

  • Average: 5.5 points per game

  • Expected points for GW13: 6.0 (West Ham at home)

  • Total points: 60 (second-highest in our targets)

  • Price: £6.6m (excellent value for output)

Verdict: Essential buy. This is peak Bruno form, and Newcastle's schedule is beautiful. At just 4.2% ownership, he's flying under the radar despite being one of the best midfield options available. Newcastle face West Ham at home - expect another haul.

📉 Top Three Transfers OUT

1. Mohamed Salah (£14.2m) - The Mass Exodus

Ownership: 23.6%

Transfers Out: 150,000+

GW12 Performance: 2 points (90 minutes, zero returns)

He leads the exodus, and it's completely understandable. Salah scored just 2 points in Gameweek 12 despite playing the full 90 minutes with zero attacking returns.

Why Managers Are Selling:

  • Price: £14.2m is crippling team structure

  • Season stats: 4 goals, 2 assists (not matching premium price)

  • Fixtures: Turning difficult after this week

  • Form: Not delivering consistent returns

  • Ownership dropping: 150,000+ sales this week

Verdict: Sell if you haven't already. Use that £14.2m to upgrade elsewhere and reinvest when Liverpool's fixtures improve. That massive price tag isn't justifying itself right now, and the funds can transform your team structure.

2. Robert Sanchez (£4.8m) - Chelsea Keeper Uncertainty

Ownership: 13.2%

Transfers Out: 40,000

GW12 Performance: Clean sheet

The Chelsea keeper has lost nearly 40,000 managers despite keeping a clean sheet in Gameweek 12. He has 6 clean sheets this season, which is actually decent.

The Situation:

  • Season stats: 6 clean sheets (solid)

  • Price: £4.8m (dropped twice already)

  • Fixtures: Not terrible, but not premium

  • Ownership: 13.2% and declining

  • Alternatives: Better options at similar prices

Verdict: Hold if you own him. That clean sheet in Gameweek 12 shows he can still deliver, and his price has already dropped twice. Chelsea's fixtures aren't terrible - no need to panic sell.

3. Casemiro (£5.5m) - Amorim Rotation Risk

Ownership: Not specified

Transfers Out: 19,000

GW12 Performance: 0 points (57 minutes)

The Manchester United midfielder has lost 19,000 managers after getting zero points in Gameweek 12 despite playing 57 minutes. Under new boss Ruben Amorim, rotation is a real concern.

The Problems:

  • Total points: 47 (3 goals, 2 assists)

  • Consistency: Lacking reliable returns

  • Minutes: Rotation risk under Amorim

  • System: United's midfield uncertain in new formation

  • Price: £5.5m (funds needed elsewhere)

Verdict: Sell if you need funds. United's midfield is uncertain under Amorim's system, and you can't trust his minutes. Better options available at similar or lower prices.

💎 Differential Picks (Under 10% Ownership)

Three players flying under the radar who could deliver massive green arrows:

Harvey Barnes (£6.3m) - 1.5% Owned

That 15-point haul makes him the standout differential of the week. With 116,000+ transfers in, he won't stay at 1.5% ownership for long. Playing as a forward in Eddie Howe's system with Newcastle's excellent fixtures ahead, Barnes is the differential to own before everyone else catches on.

Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£4.9m) - 3.0% Owned

Total Points: 48

GW12 Performance: 13 points (1 goal, maximum bonus)

The Everton midfielder just smashed 13 points in Gameweek 12 with a goal and maximum bonus. He's playing every minute under David Moyes and has 2 goals and 2 assists this season. At £4.9m, he's an absolute bargain who's nailed in the starting XI.

Tomas Soucek (£5.7m) - 0.3% Owned

The West Ham midfielder has great underlying stats with 6.3 form rating, and he's due a haul. At just 0.3% ownership, he's the ultimate under-the-radar pick who could deliver a massive differential advantage.

⚡ Captaincy Pick for Gameweek 13

The Choice: Bruno Guimaraes vs West Ham at St James' Park

Newcastle are flying, he's in red-hot form with 10 points last week, and West Ham's defense is leaky. With 6.0 expected points and playing at home, Bruno is the safe premium pick for the armband.

Why Bruno:

  • Form: 10 points in GW12 with 2 assists and maximum bonus

  • Fixture: West Ham (H) - excellent matchup

  • Stats: 60 total points, averaging 5.5 per game

  • Price: £6.6m (affordable captaincy option)

  • Ownership: Just 4.2% (differential captaincy advantage)

Alternative Option: Jurrien Timber if you're feeling bold and want a defensive differential captain, but Bruno is the safe premium pick with much higher ceiling.

🎯 Key Action Points

  • If you still own Salah, this is the week to move him on - don't wait until his price drops again

  • Bruno Guimaraes is essential at 4.2% ownership - get him before his price rises

  • Harvey Barnes is the differential of the week at 1.5% ownership

  • Consider Emiliano Martinez for goalkeeper stability at exactly £5.0m

  • Dewsbury-Hall at £4.9m is a bargain enabler who's playing every minute

  • Captain Bruno Guimaraes against West Ham at home

⏰ Deadline Reminder: Saturday at 1:30 PM - don't miss it!

Make those moves before the deadline hits. The template is shifting, ownership percentages are changing rapidly, and getting ahead of the curve this week could deliver serious green arrows.

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That's your comprehensive Gameweek 13 briefing. Good luck with your transfers, and let's get those green arrows! Subscribe at whogotthepoints.com for daily updates.

See you tomorrow with another daily briefing!

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