Happy Friday, FPL managers! Thanks for subscribing to Who Got The Points. Gameweek 12 is in the books, and we're racing toward the GW13 deadline hitting tomorrow (Saturday) at 1:30 PM GMT. With some explosive performances and crucial injury news emerging, this week's transfer decisions could define your season.

In the next few minutes, we'll break down the hottest transfers in, the players being shipped out, and some differential gems that could give you the edge in your mini-leagues. Let's dive in.

🚨 Key News & Updates

O’Reilly

Thiago

Before we get to transfers, here's what you need to know heading into Gameweek 13:

  • Manchester City's midweek Champions League rotation suggests certain players are becoming rotation risks rather than nailed starters - monitor team news carefully

  • Twenty players are sitting on four yellow cards - one more booking means a suspension. Check your squad to avoid surprise absences

  • Nick Pope's error against West Ham has raised questions about Newcastle's keeper situation, while Jordan Pickford delivered a clean sheet and 10 points in GW12

📈 Top 3 Transfers IN for Gameweek 13

1. Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) - £7.7m | 15.7% Owned

The hottest property in FPL right now. Eze absolutely exploded in Gameweek 12 with a hat-trick against Nottingham Forest, collecting 20 FPL points including three bonus points. His ownership has rocketed from single digits to 15.7% overnight, and for good reason.

Season stats: 61 total points, 4 goals and 3 assists across 11 appearances. That's an impressive output for a midfielder at his price point. Arsenal's fixtures look fantastic going forward, and Mikel Arteta's side are firing on all cylinders in attack.

Expected points for GW13: 9.3 - making him one of the top captaincy options this week.

VERDICT: ESSENTIAL. Get him in now if you can afford him. This isn't just chasing last week's points - Eze is genuinely good, on penalties, and playing in an elite attacking team. At £7.7m, he's premium value.

2. Daniel Muñoz (Crystal Palace) - £5.9m | 20.4% Owned

The defender who plays like a midfielder. Muñoz is delivering attacking returns with remarkable consistency. In Gameweek 12, he scored against Newcastle, kept a clean sheet, grabbed three bonus points, and delivered 14 FPL points total.

Season stats: 74 total points with 2 goals, 3 assists, and 6 clean sheets. This right-back is absolutely bombing forward under Oliver Glasner's system, and Palace's fixtures remain decent in the coming weeks.

Expected points for GW13: 8.7 - exceptional for a £5.9m defender.

VERDICT: ESSENTIAL. At his price point, Muñoz offers midfielder-level returns from a defensive slot. If you don't own him, fix that immediately. He's arguably the best value pick in the entire game right now.

3. Yoane Thiago (Brentford) - £6.5m | 16.9% Owned

The budget forward who keeps delivering. Thiago bagged another goal in Gameweek 12 against Leicester, bringing his season tally to an impressive nine goals already.

Season stats: 64 total points, averaging 5.3 points per game. Brentford are playing direct football under Thomas Frank, and Thiago is the main man up top - taking shots, getting chances, and most importantly, converting them.

Expected points for GW13: 6.3

VERDICT: GOOD. He's excellent value at £6.5m, but be aware that Brentford's fixtures turn tricky soon. If you have the budget for premium forwards, consider him as a rotation option rather than a season keeper. For those on a tight budget, he's a fantastic enabler who actually scores points.

📉 Top 3 Transfers OUT for Gameweek 13

1. Malo Gusto (Chelsea) - £4.9m | 1.6% Owned

The rotation headache continues. In Gameweek 12, Gusto managed just 23 minutes off the bench against Leicester, collecting a single point. That's deeply concerning for anyone who brought him in expecting regular starts.

Season stats: 40 total points averaging 4.0 per game across limited appearances. While Chelsea's defence has been solid with four clean sheets this season, Enzo Maresca is rotating heavily, and Gusto isn't nailed.

VERDICT: SELL. If you need funds or a nailed defender, move him on. The uncertainty around his minutes doesn't justify a squad spot when there are better options at similar prices who are guaranteed to play.

2. Carlos Gomez (Brighton) - £4.9m | 0.3% Owned

Underwhelming output despite minutes. The midfielder played 69 minutes against Bournemouth but delivered just one point in Gameweek 12. His 29 total points across 11 games isn't good enough at any price.

Brighton have been inconsistent under their current system, and Gomez isn't offering enough attacking threat despite occasional involvement. His expected points might look optimistic, but recent performances don't back it up.

VERDICT: SELL if you own him (which is unlikely given that 0.3% ownership). He's not worth a squad spot when there are better budget midfielders available who offer more consistent returns.

3. Tyrell Mitchell (Crystal Palace) - £5.0m | 2.6% Owned

The Palace double-up dilemma. Mitchell actually had a decent Gameweek 12, starting and playing 90 minutes with a clean sheet for 6 points. He's accumulated 61 total points with 6 clean sheets this season - respectable numbers.

However, with Muñoz delivering explosive attacking returns (2 goals, 3 assists), having two Palace defenders might be overkill. Mitchell is more defensive-minded with 1 goal and 0 assists compared to Muñoz's attacking output.

VERDICT: HOLD if you own him and need a budget defender who offers clean sheet potential. But SELL if you're doubling up on Palace defence. Redirect those funds to attackers or consolidate your Palace exposure into just Muñoz.

💎 Differential Picks Under 10% Ownership

Looking to gain ground in your mini-leagues? These under-the-radar picks could give you a crucial edge:

Josh O'Reilly (Manchester City) - £5.0m | 4.6% Owned

Incredible value if he stays in the team. O'Reilly played the full 90 minutes in Gameweek 12 and has accumulated 5 clean sheets this season plus 1 goal and 2 assists. That's 52 total points at just £5.0m - exceptional bang for your buck.

The risk: Guardiola's infamous rotation wheel. But O'Reilly has been starting regularly recently, suggesting he might have earned Pep's trust.

Expected points for GW13: 7.2 - impressive for a £5.0m enabler.

Trevoh Chalobah (Chelsea) - £5.1m | 8.5% Owned

Clean sheets plus attacking threat. Chalobah has delivered 6 clean sheets, 2 goals, and 1 assist this season for 61 total points. He started against Leicester in GW12, and Chelsea's defence is improving week by week.

At £5.1m, he offers clean sheet potential plus the odd attacking return from set pieces. A solid option if you're looking to diversify your defensive picks.

Expected points for GW13: 5.3

Nicola Savona (Nottingham Forest) - £4.5m | 0.1% Owned

The ultimate differential. Savona scored and kept a clean sheet in Gameweek 12, delivering an impressive 12 points. That's 2 goals in just 7 appearances - an attacking threat from defence.

At £4.5m, he's perfect bench fodder who might surprise you with attacking returns. Forest have been decent defensively, and with just 0.1% ownership, Savona could be a genuine league-winning differential.

Expected points for GW13: 7.0 - suggesting the algorithm sees value here too.

⭐ Captaincy Pick for Gameweek 13

Eberechi Eze is the obvious choice after that explosive hat-trick. Arsenal are in superb form, he's on penalties, and his 9.3 expected points make him the standout captaincy option this week.

While it might feel like chasing last week's points, Eze's underlying numbers, fixture, and team form all support backing him as captain. Don't overthink it.

💡 Final Tips & Reminders

  • Don't chase last week's points blindly - make sure your team structure makes sense

  • Avoid taking hits just to get Eze in if it wrecks your squad balance

  • Check for yellow card accumulation across your squad (20 players are on 4 yellows)

  • Monitor team news closely - midweek fixtures mean rotation risks are higher

  • The deadline is Saturday at 1:30 PM GMT - don't leave your transfers to the last minute

🎯 Take Your FPL Game to the Next Level

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That's all for today! Make those transfers count, and remember - the deadline is Saturday at 1:30 PM GMT. Thanks for reading, and we'll see you tomorrow for more FPL insights.

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